NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	78		Excitement	4.8 [858]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +7.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.2 [918]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -18.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	13	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.04	16	47%	-0.07	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00
Baron Davis	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	18	38%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	17%	-0.09

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	76%	0.16	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.02	18	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	30.5	18.5	24.3	1.8	32.3	131.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.9%

LAC +0.2%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +9.1%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAC	NBA	CHH	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	17.2	15.6	88.6	100.0	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		102.2	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.6	17.4	15.8	13.8	15.4
LAC	16.7	15.3	17.7	19.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	40	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-19	27	13.9	16.5	-2.59	17.9	16.6	1.37
Robert Traylor	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-15	19	14.6	15.6	-0.92	17.9	16.9	0.96
Matt Bullard	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-15	19	13.0	16.3	-3.31	18.2	16.8	1.38
Bryce Drew	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	17.7	15.0	2.67	16.7	17.2	-0.58
Jerome Moiso	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-5	-1	19.7	15.0	4.62	12.0	17.5	-5.54
Stacey Augmon	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-5	-1	20.2	14.7	5.51	14.8	17.5	-2.68
David Wesley	78	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-8	5	14.5	21.9	-7.37	17.7	13.1	4.58
P.J. Brown	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	15.2	15.8	-0.57	17.2	17.1	0.05
Lee Nailon	57	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	16.1	14.0	2.11	16.7	17.9	-1.13
Baron Davis	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	1	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.21	17.2	16.7	0.56
Elden Campbell	48	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	8	-27	16.5	13.9	2.59	16.6	17.9	-1.37

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	0	11	17.4	14.9	2.52	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Michael Olowokandi	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	17.6	16.0	1.61	14.7	17.5	-2.79
Elton Brand	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	17.7	15.6	2.10	15.0	16.6	-1.65
Corey Maggette	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	0	11	16.0	18.6	-2.55	16.5	13.9	2.63
Jeff McInnis	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	3	5	16.9	18.2	-1.25	15.1	16.4	-1.36
Earl Boykins	18	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	8	-5	18.2	16.9	1.25	16.4	15.1	1.36
Quentin Richardson	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	9	-7	17.6	16.7	0.91	14.6	16.2	-1.65
Obinna Ekezie	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	9	-7	16.0	17.6	-1.61	17.5	14.7	2.79
Darius Miles	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	9	-7	16.4	17.5	-1.01	16.2	15.1	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 63, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 90, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 99, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.0%