NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	63		Excitement	4.2 [597]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +21.9%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.0 [759]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -14.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	68%	0.14	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	5	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	10	23%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.03	-0.06	19	38%	-0.06	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	15	81%	0.29	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	57%	0.02	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	15	31%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	25.2	17.8	26.0	2.5	28.7	125.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.7%

NYK +5.1%

CHI -10.9%

NYK +14.2%

NYK +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	15.7	15.8	71.6	89.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.0		90.6	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.4		95.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.1	18.5	15.7	16.3	17.1
NYK	14.0	17.5	14.3	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	19	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	18.9	16.6	2.33	16.1	15.5	0.57
Cory Carr	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	14.2	17.3	-3.11	12.0	15.9	-3.93
Randy Brown	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-17	18	17.7	16.8	0.86	13.8	16.5	-2.75
Keith Booth	8	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-14	12	18.5	16.9	1.57	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Mark Bryant	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-16	16	16.2	18.3	-2.17	16.4	14.6	1.73
Charles R. Jones	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-5	-6	18.5	16.6	1.97	15.3	15.8	-0.52
Rusty LaRue	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-14	12	18.2	16.7	1.54	17.7	15.0	2.64
Kornel David	27	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-10	4	17.7	16.8	0.86	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Ron Harper	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-6	-4	16.7	17.7	-0.98	16.5	14.4	2.13
Toni Kukoc	75	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-4	-8	17.1	17.1	-0.01	15.7	15.5	0.15
Dickey Simpkins	67	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	3	-22	16.8	18.0	-1.29	14.9	17.8	-2.93
Brent Barry	63	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	5	-26	16.6	18.3	-1.75	16.4	13.9	2.49

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	61	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-4	24	15.6	15.8	-0.22	16.5	18.5	-1.98
Charlie Ward	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	-3	22	15.1	16.5	-1.37	16.7	17.7	-0.97
Allan Houston	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	9	-2	15.7	15.3	0.40	17.2	16.7	0.48
Larry Johnson	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	6	4	15.0	17.3	-2.26	17.2	16.8	0.32
Chris Childs	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	11	-6	16.8	14.4	2.35	18.2	15.8	2.41
Patrick Ewing	61	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	6	4	15.0	17.1	-2.15	17.1	16.9	0.27
Dennis Scott	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	10	-4	17.3	15.0	2.26	16.8	17.2	-0.32
Chris Dudley	13	12	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	10	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.14	19.0	16.8	2.24
Marcus Camby	41	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	20	-24	16.8	14.7	2.10	17.3	16.9	0.39
Rick Brunson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	12.0	15.8	-3.83	11.7	17.3	-5.57
David Wingate	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	12.0	15.8	-3.83	10.7	17.3	-6.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 86, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
CHH 78, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1	95.4%
LAC 90, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%