NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	5.3 [743]		MVP	Randy Foye (UTA): +25.7%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.0 [998]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -14.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	12	47%	0.04	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	56%	0.09	5	-0.11	12	42%	-0.07
Devin Ebanks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	6	23%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	0.11	17	57%	-0.02	6	-0.12	17	88%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.02	11	71%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	62%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	18	47%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	11	27%	-0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	31.2	15.8	27.7	1.7	35.5	138.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +56.6%

LAL -3.9%

LAL -21.6%

UTA +17.8%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.4	90.5	99.0	104.1
season	14.9	16.0		106.0	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	17.9	15.5	14.9	15.4
UTA	14.4	14.9	16.5	13.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	71	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-14	19	14.6	17.9	-3.33	15.0	13.9	1.07
Devin Ebanks	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-3	-3	15.7	15.4	0.31	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Kobe Bryant	75	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-13	17	14.5	18.9	-4.46	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Pau Gasol	75	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.2	19.9	-5.72	14.5	15.7	-1.29
Metta World Peace	75	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-6	3	15.0	17.1	-2.11	15.0	13.6	1.36
Jordan Hill	43	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	0	-9	17.4	13.8	3.63	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Antawn Jamison	24	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	4	-17	19.6	14.0	5.56	15.3	14.5	0.75
Darius Morris	24	23	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	5	-19	17.9	14.6	3.33	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Dwight Howard	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.5	15.2	0.28	15.0	13.7	1.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	25	25	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-2	13	14.3	14.9	-0.55	18.2	14.4	3.81
Derrick Favors	33	34	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-3	15	14.7	14.8	-0.10	17.9	14.1	3.77
Randy Foye	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	9	-9	14.4	15.2	-0.80	16.2	14.2	2.04
Mo Williams	68	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	9	-9	15.3	13.4	1.84	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Alec Burks	15	15	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-2	13	15.5	14.6	0.87	20.1	14.6	5.50
Gordon Hayward	68	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	8	-7	15.2	13.5	1.74	14.7	17.2	-2.48
Jamaal Tinsley	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	0	9	13.4	15.3	-1.84	16.8	14.8	2.01
Paul Millsap	63	61	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	12	-15	14.8	14.7	0.10	14.1	17.9	-3.77
Marvin Williams	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	3	3	14.2	15.3	-1.13	14.1	17.0	-2.84
Al Jefferson	71	70	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	14.9	14.3	0.55	14.4	18.2	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 63, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 107, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 64, MIA 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%