NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	4.3 [762]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +14.2%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	1.0 [1050]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -13.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.01	0.09	8	89%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	6	53%	0.08	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	23	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	10	66%	0.15	1	-0.01	15	93%	0.05
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	15	70%	0.17	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	5	87%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	90%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	31%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.07	4	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.3	30.5	14.7	26.1	2.7	34.3	133.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.6%

SAS +19.4%

UTA -0.9%

UTA -7.9%

SAS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	13.2	15.6	106.1	115.2	102.8
season	15.8	15.3		104.0	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.2	17.5	14.6	14.7	16.0
SAS	12.8	11.8	12.6	15.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	37	38	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.32	13	-23	36	14.6	16.9	-2.32	13.8	12.9	0.97
Earl Watson	11	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-11	12	16.6	15.9	0.71	10.7	13.5	-2.83
Jeremy Evans	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-6	2	15.3	16.1	-0.83	15.2	13.0	2.28
Devin Harris	66	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	16.1	15.7	0.39	13.9	11.9	1.95
Enes Kanter	23	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	14.8	16.4	-1.55	12.1	13.6	-1.48
Al Jefferson	75	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-8	6	16.4	14.8	1.55	13.6	12.1	1.48
Paul Millsap	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	17.4	15.0	2.40	13.0	13.4	-0.34
Derrick Favors	61	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	15.5	16.9	-1.46	13.4	13.0	0.39
CJ Miles	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	4	-18	16.8	15.7	1.11	13.5	13.2	0.30
Jamaal Tinsley	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.53	12.2	13.7	-1.51
Gordon Hayward	70	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	16.1	15.7	0.36	13.2	13.3	-0.02
Alec Burks	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	16.1	15.9	0.20	12.2	13.8	-1.65

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-2	14	14.1	11.7	2.35	16.1	15.8	0.37
Tim Duncan	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	13.8	12.4	1.42	16.1	15.9	0.15
Danny Green	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	-4	18	13.8	12.6	1.16	17.0	15.0	1.98
Manu Ginobili	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	7	-4	12.6	14.3	-1.67	15.3	17.1	-1.79
Boris Diaw	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	8	-6	14.1	12.4	1.69	17.2	14.9	2.35
Kawhi Leonard	56	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	13.3	13.2	0.10	16.0	16.0	0.02
Matt Bonner	52	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	2	6	12.4	14.1	-1.69	14.9	17.2	-2.35
Gary Neal	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	13	-16	12.2	14.1	-1.87	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Tiago Splitter	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	8	-6	12.4	13.8	-1.42	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Patty Mills	23	24	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	12	-14	13.3	13.2	0.02	15.7	16.1	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 87, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.96,1	95.7%
LAL 72, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%