NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.1 [792]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +13.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.0 [986]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	59%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jeremy Pargo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	26%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	16	45%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	17	42%	-0.05	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	16	57%	0.19	2	-0.05	15	60%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	4	55%	0.06	6	-0.11	12	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	26.5	15.7	28.3	2.5	43.3	142.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.1%

MIN +15.5%

MIN +6.3%

PHI -13.3%

MIN +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.4	91.6	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	15.6		100.5	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		103.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	15.9	15.0	16.6	15.1
MIN	15.6	16.1	15.7	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-10	13	17.1	14.8	2.25	16.2	15.3	0.93
Jeremy Pargo	18	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	14.3	15.3	-1.03	16.6	15.1	1.45
Dorell Wright	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-12	17	13.9	16.0	-2.11	15.4	15.3	0.10
Royal Ivey	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-15	23	16.1	14.5	1.58	15.6	15.2	0.43
Damien Wilkins	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-12	17	16.5	13.5	3.01	15.4	15.3	0.03
Nick Young	65	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	2	-11	14.5	16.5	-2.07	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Lavoy Allen	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	8	-23	14.6	15.7	-1.08	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Evan Turner	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	1	-9	14.7	16.4	-1.74	15.3	15.5	-0.12
Spencer Hawes	63	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	14.9	15.6	-0.72	15.4	15.2	0.27
Jrue Holiday	67	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	9	-25	15.8	13.4	2.39	15.4	15.3	0.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	80	81	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	15.8	13.0	2.78	15.3	14.0	1.31
Ricky Rubio	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-3	13	14.5	16.8	-2.34	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Luke Ridnour	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	0	7	14.8	16.5	-1.77	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Andrei Kirilenko	72	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	15.0	16.7	-1.72	15.2	14.7	0.51
Derrick Williams	72	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	15.1	16.1	-0.95	14.1	18.4	-4.29
Dante Cunningham	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	3	1	14.9	15.7	-0.77	16.7	14.2	2.54
Mickael Gelabale	16	16	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	0	7	17.1	15.0	2.12	15.4	15.1	0.39
Alexey Shved	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	8	-9	16.6	14.6	1.93	15.4	14.9	0.53
Jose Juan Barea	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	9	-11	16.6	14.5	2.09	15.4	14.9	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	95.7%
DET 99, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 93, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%