inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 78 Excitement2.7 [1169] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +6.2%
Utah Jazz 116 Comeback1.0 [1144] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -11.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.01778%0.081-0.034100%0.01
Terry Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03650%-0.0010.00450%-0.00
Tracy Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09819%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Pack-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02571%0.023-0.02786%0.00
Keon Clark-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03837%-0.0100.00333%-0.02
James Posey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02430%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01543%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
George McCloud-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00650%-0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Nick Van Exel-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01939%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00540%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.120,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.03920%-0.072-0.042100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.02772%0.081-0.02425%-0.02
Quincy Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.03867%0.0500.002100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01756%0.0400.00250%-0.01
David Benoit0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Stockton0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.02872%0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00673%0.0030.003100%0.00
Olden Polynice0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02664%0.033-0.03250%-0.01
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.021352%-0.0100.005100%0.02
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.011159%0.012-0.02771%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04450%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.329.315.628.32.426.2129.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +25.3%
UTA +3.2%
UTA +6.8%
UTA +11.9%
UTA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game15.116.015.584.8124.7100.9
season15.216.0101.4105.3
opponent15.515.2100.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.015.717.815.415.1
UTA16.815.615.715.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Davis2628-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-312414.215.5-1.2415.816.1-0.32
Tracy Murray3234-0.01-0.490.470.40-14-241015.514.90.5415.216.5-1.27
Mark Strickland2930-0.02-0.480.460.48-17-21416.314.61.7415.216.4-1.20
Voshon Lenard3637-0.10-0.400.290.40-17-21414.715.4-0.7417.714.92.81
Robert Pack4950-0.15-0.350.190.40-19-19014.415.9-1.4315.716.4-0.72
James Posey3739-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-251216.614.12.5616.615.61.00
Keon Clark4848-0.24-0.260.030.18-14-241013.916.5-2.5616.615.41.14
George McCloud4241-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-251213.416.5-3.1116.115.90.16
Antonio McDyess4848-0.34-0.16-0.170.13-16-22615.314.90.4017.314.72.60
Nick Van Exel4343-0.35-0.15-0.190.21-19-19015.914.41.4316.415.70.72
Tariq Abdul-Wahad3735-0.40-0.10-0.290.16-19-19015.614.80.8914.317.1-2.81
Raef LaFrentz3332-0.40-0.10-0.310.24-22-16-616.314.51.8014.216.9-2.68

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton52520.54-0.040.58-0.373172415.516.6-1.1116.113.82.29
Greg Ostertag47450.340.150.19-0.302216615.716.3-0.5815.614.70.90
Danny Manning36340.290.210.08-0.181622-616.415.80.6615.614.80.74
Bryon Russell47460.270.230.05-0.342117416.815.21.5316.114.11.98
John Starks52520.250.25-0.00-0.342018216.914.92.0715.414.80.61
Quincy Lewis37370.230.27-0.05-0.301820-215.316.5-1.1414.315.7-1.33
Jacque Vaughn61610.210.29-0.08-0.472315815.716.7-0.9814.117.1-3.03
Olden Polynice46470.150.34-0.19-0.311622-616.315.70.5814.715.6-0.90
David Benoit23240.140.36-0.22-0.01533-2815.116.3-1.2316.914.52.37
Donyell Marshall43430.070.43-0.36-0.401622-615.916.1-0.1513.416.6-3.24
DeShawn Stevenson21190.000.50-0.50-0.06236-3416.016.0-0.0814.915.2-0.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 64, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
GSW 78, LAL 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CLE 100, DEN 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%