NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	3.1 [1149]		MVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): +18.6%
Denver Nuggets	122		Comeback	1.1 [1111]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -6.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	20%	0.00	1	-0.00	6	0%	-0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	16	59%	0.06	4	-0.07	14	57%	-0.05
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	24%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.28	0.01	0.10	13	91%	0.19	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.01	0.09	20	77%	0.18	4	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	17	54%	0.08	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.04
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.5	33.3	15.7	26.1	2.4	32.3	140.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +43.7%

DEN +5.0%

CLE -2.6%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DEN	NBA	CLE	DEN	NBA
this game	16.1	13.0	15.4	101.0	123.2	105.7
season	16.4	13.3		104.0	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	17.1	15.5	16.6	16.1
DEN	13.0	11.3	13.3	14.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.16	7	-29	36	14.4	17.0	-2.54	14.4	12.3	2.12
Dwayne Jones	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-25	28	16.7	15.8	0.88	14.9	12.3	2.61
Larry Hughes	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-18	14	16.7	16.0	0.71	10.5	13.3	-2.81
Ira Newble	58	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-25	28	16.2	15.9	0.35	13.8	12.0	1.71
Shannon Brown	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-17	12	17.5	15.4	2.02	14.8	12.2	2.59
Devin Brown	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-5	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.28	13.7	12.5	1.20
Damon Jones	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.5	17.1	-1.59	12.8	13.4	-0.63
LeBron James	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-9	-4	15.9	16.6	-0.71	12.4	14.5	-2.10
Drew Gooden	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	4	-30	15.8	16.5	-0.64	11.7	15.3	-3.62
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	2	-26	17.5	15.1	2.37	12.9	13.1	-0.26
Daniel Gibson	53	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	0	-22	16.1	16.1	-0.01	12.1	14.2	-2.10

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.34	28	-6	34	12.3	15.3	-2.98	15.8	16.8	-1.00
Marcus Camby	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	3	16	12.2	14.8	-2.59	15.5	17.3	-1.80
Carmelo Anthony	68	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	12	-2	12.7	13.6	-0.90	16.0	16.3	-0.35
J.R. Smith	49	47	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	11	0	13.4	12.7	0.75	16.5	15.7	0.78
Kenyon Martin	48	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.18	16	6	10	12.2	13.8	-1.56	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Bobby Jones	46	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	10	2	13.5	12.6	0.92	16.6	15.6	1.03
Yakhouba Diawara	50	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	9	4	13.2	12.9	0.30	15.3	16.9	-1.66
Eduardo Najera	38	36	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	13	-4	12.9	13.1	-0.18	16.7	15.7	0.95
Linas Kleiza	30	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	24	-26	14.8	12.2	2.59	18.1	15.2	2.94
Steven Hunter	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	16.3	12.5	3.77	17.2	15.9	1.26
Von Wafer	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	15.3	12.7	2.62	16.1	16.1	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 90, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
VAN 80, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%