inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 78 Excitement2.9 [739] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +8.6%
Los Angeles Lakers 89 Comeback1.2 [767] LVPBimbo Coles (GSW): -11.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Starks-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.081041%0.024-0.03250%-0.00
Terry Cummings-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01450%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Felton Spencer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01747%-0.0300.00560%-0.00
Adonal Foyle-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01661%-0.013-0.03650%-0.02
Donyell Marshall-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01756%-0.043-0.00475%0.01
Tony Delk-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.05729%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Chris Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.031136%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.021237%-0.0600.00875%-0.01
Antawn Jamison-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.06337%-0.052-0.021040%-0.02
Bimbo Coles-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.010.01828%-0.082-0.04250%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.00-0.031462%0.091-0.00450%-0.02
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.011360%0.042-0.014100%0.02
Travis Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01757%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.01-0.06750%0.022-0.016100%0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.06320%-0.0000.00450%-0.00
J.R. Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.02460%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Derek Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Glen Rice0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.00-0.062142%-0.032-0.02862%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.230.415.823.51.832.5133.6
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +32.7%
LAL +8.7%
GSW -5.6%
LAL +12.4%
LAL +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game14.416.115.882.194.799.6
season15.914.995.1104.7
opponent15.815.5102.098.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.715.913.813.314.4
LAL15.314.715.718.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle4848-0.06-0.440.39-0.298-192712.416.5-4.1116.215.90.36
Terry Cummings1617-0.11-0.390.290.04-5-6114.014.5-0.4915.516.2-0.67
Felton Spencer3938-0.11-0.390.28-0.286-172312.715.6-2.9617.015.41.60
Tony Delk5150-0.11-0.390.28-0.265-162112.916.2-3.2616.515.60.91
Antawn Jamison4746-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-121313.115.7-2.6216.315.90.41
John Starks6262-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-6-5-114.614.10.5416.116.00.16
Donyell Marshall5857-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-2-715.412.82.6216.116.00.17
Bimbo Coles4444-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-165-2116.212.93.2615.616.5-0.91
Chris Mills6059-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-187-2515.512.53.0915.616.9-1.25
Erick Dampier5049-0.47-0.03-0.450.14-2110-3116.312.34.0315.616.6-1.05

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant83840.410.090.320.1592715.817.9-2.0814.315.0-0.67
Shaquille O'Neal57580.400.100.30-0.1619-82716.016.2-0.2315.712.43.37
Rick Fox52520.380.120.26-0.0314-31716.016.2-0.2115.912.63.38
Derek Harper41410.350.150.19-0.0112-11316.216.00.2115.913.32.62
J.R. Reid32320.250.250.000.28-112-1316.016.1-0.1114.114.6-0.43
Glen Rice53540.210.29-0.090.24-112-1316.515.51.0813.116.2-3.14
Travis Knight31320.180.32-0.13-0.0892716.715.71.0016.613.33.25
Derek Fisher46470.150.35-0.190.0156-116.116.1-0.0213.315.5-2.16
Sean Rooks30300.100.40-0.300.16-213-1516.415.90.4812.215.4-3.23
Dennis Rodman18180.050.45-0.40-0.0438-514.816.4-1.5413.314.7-1.33
Robert Horry20200.020.48-0.470.19-617-2316.016.1-0.0311.915.1-3.18
Ruben Patterson770.000.50-0.500.18-617-2315.416.1-0.7013.014.5-1.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 88, IND 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
DEN 78, UTA 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NYK 63, GSW 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%