NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	2.9 [1180]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +4.4%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	1.2 [1066]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -9.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	12	61%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	12	63%	0.05	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	41%	-0.07	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.22	0.01	-0.13	18	43%	-0.01	8	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	6	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.12	21	48%	0.06	4	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	8	58%	0.03	4	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	22	46%	-0.03	2	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.7	40.1	16.8	27.5	2.8	30.6	150.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.7%

IND +4.3%

IND +7.4%

IND +12.5%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	17.0	15.7	92.6	110.6	100.5
season	14.4	16.7		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		94.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.7	15.3	12.2	14.0	13.5
IND	16.1	15.3	17.2	19.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	5.0	13.6	-8.62	19.5	16.9	2.59
Michael Stewart	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-10	4	10.0	13.8	-3.76	6.4	17.6	-11.16
Chris Mihm	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-15	14	13.4	13.6	-0.22	18.0	16.2	1.74
Marcus Banks	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-13	10	13.7	13.5	0.22	16.2	17.2	-1.08
Walter McCarty	62	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-8	0	13.5	13.6	-0.08	15.4	19.8	-4.44
Ricky Davis	64	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-13	10	13.0	14.7	-1.76	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Paul Pierce	86	86	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-8	0	13.5	13.7	-0.16	16.8	18.7	-1.95
Brandon Hunter	11	10	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-3	-10	16.8	13.1	3.72	18.5	16.8	1.71
Mark Blount	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-4	-8	13.6	13.5	0.07	17.5	16.3	1.15
Chucky Atkins	72	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	13.5	13.7	-0.22	17.2	16.2	1.08
Jiri Welsch	56	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	14.2	12.6	1.59	18.3	15.0	3.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	75	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.14	22	-6	28	17.5	14.8	2.66	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Al Harrington	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	5	6	17.0	16.9	0.10	13.0	14.6	-1.58
Metta World Peace	77	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	1	14	17.1	16.4	0.75	13.7	12.8	0.86
Reggie Miller	55	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.24	19	-3	22	17.1	16.7	0.43	13.9	13.0	0.83
Anthony Johnson	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	9	-2	15.5	18.2	-2.74	12.5	14.3	-1.87
Jamaal Tinsley	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	9	-2	18.2	15.2	2.99	14.2	12.6	1.51
Fred Jones	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	19	-22	16.7	17.1	-0.43	13.0	13.9	-0.83
Jonathan Bender	17	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	15	-14	16.4	17.1	-0.75	12.8	13.7	-0.86
Jeff Foster	46	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	15	-14	15.9	18.0	-2.02	14.5	12.7	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
SAC 81, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 78, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%