NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	6.9 [407]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +18.3%
Toronto Raptors	80		Comeback	1.2 [776]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -24.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.14,0.18	0.00	0.18	-0.01	22	52%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	11	52%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	45%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	27	61%	0.20	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	8	28%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.20	-0.06	-0.01	11	4%	-0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	26.4	16.4	24.5	2.7	33.2	129.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +68.5%

TOR -6.5%

TOR -5.0%

TOR -9.5%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	16.9	15.9	15.5	96.6	92.0	100.9
season	15.8	15.8		103.9	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	16.8	17.6	17.3	16.9
TOR	14.2	16.7	15.8	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	72	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-2	10	16.7	17.6	-0.89	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Steven Smith	69	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	3	0	17.4	14.9	2.53	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Scottie Pippen	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	17.0	16.6	0.37	15.6	16.5	-0.85
Damon Stoudamire	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	17.5	13.9	3.53	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Dale Davis	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	6	-6	17.4	16.0	1.40	16.1	15.3	0.79
Stacey Augmon	33	31	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	2	2	14.8	18.1	-3.30	16.0	15.7	0.28
Bonzi Wells	28	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	2	2	15.7	17.4	-1.68	16.9	15.3	1.59
Arvydas Sabonis	33	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	4	-2	16.4	17.1	-0.70	16.3	15.6	0.68
Shawn Kemp	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	4	-2	17.5	16.7	0.72	15.7	15.9	-0.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	34	34	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-11	16	14.5	16.7	-2.17	17.8	16.3	1.50
Kevin Willis	36	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-8	10	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.5	17.1	-0.66
Dell Curry	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-4	2	16.7	15.7	0.96	18.5	16.6	1.81
Tyrone Corbin	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.1	15.9	-0.85	17.2	16.8	0.38
Mark Jackson	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	15.6	16.3	-0.78	16.9	16.8	0.16
Morris Peterson	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-3	0	16.6	15.2	1.39	15.5	18.0	-2.48
Alvin Williams	35	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-3	0	16.8	15.2	1.59	17.0	16.8	0.27
Antonio Davis	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	15.7	17.3	-1.59	17.2	12.8	4.32
Vince Carter	79	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.8	16.2	-0.44	16.8	17.7	-0.97
Charles Oakley	57	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	5	-16	15.8	15.9	-0.02	16.7	17.2	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	93.7%
SEA 109, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.23,0,0	92.4%
TOR 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.09,0	92.4%