NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Excitement	4.0 [982]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +13.0%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.1 [492]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): -6.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	8	79%	0.15	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Mike Conley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.04	11	68%	0.14	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	59%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leonard Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Minott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.02	0.08	23	63%	0.09	5	-0.09	11	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.02	0.06	15	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	55%	0.05	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	80%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.16	-0.01	0.17	19	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	18	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	3.4	26.7	15.4	34.3	3.5	39.3	154.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.2%

PHX -1.7%

MIN +17.1%

PHX -1.5%

PHX -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.5	13.0	14.5	128.6	112.4	113.9
season	14.8	14.6		114.7	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.6		113.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	16.6	15.0	19.4	16.5
PHX	10.9	16.1	15.0	10.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	76	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.07	21	-4	25	16.5	16.5	-0.06	13.5	11.0	2.55
Anthony Edwards	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-2	21	16.4	17.2	-0.78	12.9	14.4	-1.54
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-6	29	16.2	17.2	-0.97	13.5	11.9	1.59
Mike Conley	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	0	17	16.1	17.4	-1.30	13.2	12.5	0.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	18	-19	16.9	16.1	0.80	12.5	13.6	-1.03
Jaden McDaniels	63	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	9	-1	16.2	17.0	-0.73	12.6	13.8	-1.24
Naz Reid	37	34	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	10	-3	16.6	16.4	0.20	13.4	12.8	0.65
Kyle Anderson	20	17	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	22	-27	16.5	16.5	-0.00	11.7	13.3	-1.59
Luka Garza	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	16.5	3.54	8.0	13.1	-5.07
Wendell Moore Jr.	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	16.5	3.54	8.0	13.1	-5.07
Leonard Miller	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	16.5	3.54	8.0	13.1	-5.07
Josh Minott	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.0	16.5	3.54	8.0	13.1	-5.07
Monte Morris	18	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	18.4	16.1	2.31	13.4	12.9	0.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nassir Little	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	8.0	13.1	-5.07	20.0	16.5	3.54
David Roddy	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	8.0	13.1	-5.07	20.0	16.5	3.54
Bol Bol	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.4	12.8	1.65	17.1	16.4	0.67
Josh Okogie	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	11.1	13.5	-2.41	19.9	15.7	4.22
Drew Eubanks	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-10	3	15.1	12.4	2.65	15.9	16.7	-0.76
Eric Gordon	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-17	17	12.8	13.5	-0.65	16.9	15.6	1.35
Devin Booker	85	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-9	1	12.4	17.6	-5.21	16.6	16.1	0.46
Jusuf Nurkic	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	12.9	13.1	-0.17	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Kevin Durant	85	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.10	-20	3	-23	13.0	13.2	-0.17	16.3	17.7	-1.38
Royce O'Neale	51	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	6	-29	14.5	11.4	3.02	15.1	17.8	-2.69
Bradley Beal	89	91	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	2	-21	12.8	15.1	-2.29	16.5	16.9	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAL 102, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
WAS 108, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%