NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	3.7 [1069]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): +21.0%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.1 [351]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (NJN): -10.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.07	0.03	13	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	19	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.00	-0.01	16	65%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	9	42%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	8	74%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	28.3	14.8	27.9	1.8	29.4	126.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.5%

NJN -5.5%

NJN -4.7%

WAS +11.3%

NJN -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.5	124.1	100.0	106.4
season	15.9	16.0		103.5	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		108.9	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.5	19.7	15.9	14.9	16.6
NJN	15.5	19.2	16.9	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	48	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-3	26	15.6	17.8	-2.12	15.3	17.5	-2.26
Antawn Jamison	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-5	30	15.7	18.3	-2.65	17.2	14.8	2.38
DeShawn Stevenson	49	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.22	22	-2	24	17.0	16.1	0.83	16.7	15.8	0.84
JaVale McGee	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	12	-4	15.6	17.7	-2.16	16.5	16.1	0.46
Caron Butler	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	7	6	17.1	14.8	2.25	16.6	15.2	1.41
Nick Young	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	22	-24	16.1	17.0	-0.83	15.8	16.7	-0.84
Andray Blatche	24	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	15	-10	18.3	16.0	2.34	16.8	16.1	0.65
Darius Songaila	47	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	15	-10	16.7	16.4	0.27	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Dominic McGuire	24	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	19	-18	17.7	16.2	1.48	13.8	17.2	-3.43
Antonio Daniels	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	20	-20	17.7	15.8	1.87	17.9	15.2	2.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	39	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	-17	14	14.4	17.9	-3.52	17.1	16.2	0.89
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	14.4	16.9	-2.42	14.5	17.2	-2.65
Stromile Swift	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.14	-6	-14	8	12.4	16.8	-4.42	19.6	16.2	3.39
Keyon Dooling	41	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.22	-9	-11	2	16.3	16.3	-0.05	18.5	15.0	3.47
Jarvis Hayes	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-11	2	15.9	16.7	-0.79	18.9	14.3	4.63
Sean Williams	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-12	4	19.1	15.8	3.24	17.3	16.5	0.83
Trenton Hassell	20	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-18	16	14.2	16.9	-2.68	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Brook Lopez	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-14	8	16.4	16.2	0.20	16.0	18.3	-2.32
Yi Jianlian	46	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-13	6	16.4	16.2	0.24	14.4	19.0	-4.60
Vince Carter	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-3	-14	18.1	13.6	4.51	16.7	16.5	0.23
Devin Harris	59	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.15	-21	1	-22	16.8	15.2	1.61	17.1	15.5	1.62
Bobby Simmons	29	30	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-4	-12	17.8	15.6	2.15	14.6	17.6	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
MEM 116, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 114, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%