NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	3.9 [986]		MVP	Mitchell Butler (POR): +9.2%
Vancouver Grizzlies	85		Comeback	1.2 [546]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -11.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Butler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.02	-0.03	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.06	7	88%	0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Kenny Anderson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Childress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.07	5	53%	0.03	7	-0.14	7	43%	-0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Eric Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	79%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	47%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	15	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	22.4	16.7	27.0	1.8	25.2	124.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.7%

VAN -1.6%

POR +19.6%

VAN -3.9%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	VAN	NBA	POR	VAN	NBA
this game	13.7	17.0	15.6	120.0	91.4	104.4
season	15.5	16.3		105.2	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.9	16.6	10.7	14.0	13.7
VAN	16.8	15.4	17.4	18.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	50	51	0.60	-0.11	0.71	-0.10	24	5	19	13.1	14.4	-1.28	17.2	16.7	0.42
Aaron McKie	48	50	0.53	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	7	15	12.6	14.8	-2.14	17.1	16.8	0.24
Kenny Anderson	57	58	0.53	-0.04	0.56	-0.06	20	9	11	13.8	13.6	0.17	16.8	17.2	-0.42
Arvydas Sabonis	46	45	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.05	18	11	7	13.3	14.1	-0.82	17.2	16.8	0.41
Clifford Robinson	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	14	1	13.3	14.3	-0.97	16.7	17.4	-0.73
Dontonio Wingfield	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.40	16	13	3	15.4	12.7	2.70	17.6	16.6	1.06
Chris Dudley	49	48	0.01	0.48	-0.47	-0.31	11	18	-7	14.1	13.3	0.82	16.8	17.2	-0.41
Randolph Childress	10	7	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.03	1	28	-27	10.2	14.1	-3.92	12.6	17.3	-4.75
Reggie Jordan	32	29	-0.04	0.53	-0.56	-0.21	6	23	-17	13.5	13.8	-0.26	18.1	16.5	1.65
Mitchell Butler	47	43	-0.04	0.53	-0.57	-0.24	7	22	-15	14.8	12.6	2.14	16.8	17.1	-0.24
Gary Trent	45	42	-0.11	0.60	-0.71	-0.25	5	24	-19	14.4	13.1	1.28	16.7	17.2	-0.42

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Manning	9	12	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-30	31	15.1	17.2	-2.06	11.6	14.0	-2.43
Lawrence Moten	13	16	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.20	-7	-22	15	17.2	16.9	0.31	13.6	13.7	-0.17
George Lynch	15	17	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.04	-2	-27	25	14.1	17.5	-3.46	13.1	13.8	-0.72
Roy Rogers	24	27	-0.02	-0.47	0.45	0.27	-10	-19	9	17.1	16.9	0.21	14.6	13.4	1.19
Lee Mayberry	45	47	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.31	-13	-16	3	16.7	17.2	-0.50	14.1	13.3	0.75
Blue Edwards	54	53	-0.09	-0.40	0.31	0.29	-13	-16	3	16.8	17.2	-0.41	14.8	12.3	2.46
Eric Mobley	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-26	23	16.5	17.3	-0.74	14.2	13.4	0.85
Pete Chilcutt	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-10	-9	17.4	16.5	0.97	14.0	13.4	0.54
Anthony Peeler	49	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-7	-15	17.5	16.4	1.15	13.4	14.0	-0.58
Greg Anthony	48	48	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.05	-16	-13	-3	17.2	16.7	0.50	13.3	14.1	-0.75
Bryant Reeves	51	52	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	0.09	-19	-10	-9	17.1	16.8	0.38	12.7	15.0	-2.28
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	69	-0.50	0.01	-0.51	0.14	-22	-7	-15	17.3	16.1	1.19	13.6	14.0	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
WAS 108, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
IND 103, DAL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%