inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 103 Excitement4.1 [1030] MVPPaul George (IND): +13.5%
Dallas Mavericks 78 Comeback1.3 [522] LVPDavid West (IND): -10.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.03-0.021765%0.193-0.05367%-0.00
George Hill0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.01577%0.102-0.033100%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.01-0.061050%0.103-0.05650%-0.00
D.J. Augustin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00475%0.0310.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00850%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Roy Hibbert0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.021057%0.042-0.03875%-0.01
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Orlando Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.071060%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.01933%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Gerald Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David West-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.01835%-0.032-0.07425%-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01656%0.061-0.03683%0.01
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02450%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Dentmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.021348%0.001-0.023100%0.02
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02829%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.02540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01750%0.012-0.0420%-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.022050%0.033-0.06250%-0.02
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.041035%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.0340%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.631.116.729.32.831.0137.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +41.6%
DAL -3.3%
IND +12.1%
DAL -4.4%
IND +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDALNBAINDDALNBA
this game16.614.715.4112.084.8104.1
season16.114.5102.4104.3
opponent15.615.5105.099.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.016.915.619.216.6
DAL17.013.113.815.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul George74730.68-0.180.85-0.2331-63716.118.7-2.6314.914.10.81
George Hill55570.62-0.120.74-0.3734-94315.518.2-2.6415.912.83.06
David West55550.460.040.43-0.03178915.917.6-1.7414.914.40.53
Roy Hibbert43440.450.050.39-0.3527-22915.817.3-1.4916.712.83.89
Lance Stephenson53530.380.120.260.031213-115.917.5-1.6115.513.61.83
Orlando Johnson39390.120.38-0.26-0.261312117.515.91.6113.615.5-1.83
Tyler Hansbrough37370.040.46-0.43-0.20817-917.615.91.7414.414.9-0.53
Ian Mahinmi44410.010.49-0.480.19-631-3716.516.7-0.1612.916.2-3.28
Jeff Ayres560.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2124.216.28.0314.214.7-0.57
D.J. Augustin3736-0.080.58-0.660.13-732-3918.215.52.6412.516.1-3.56
Gerald Green1819-0.180.68-0.85-0.00-631-3718.716.12.6314.114.9-0.81

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elton Brand39410.00-0.500.500.12-4-211715.114.40.7515.917.2-1.27
Bernard James650.00-0.500.500.06-2-232114.214.7-0.5724.216.28.03
Justin Dentmon650.00-0.500.500.06-2-232114.214.7-0.5724.216.28.03
Anthony Morrow2019-0.02-0.480.450.21-8-17915.714.41.3519.715.83.88
Darren Collison5857-0.04-0.460.410.13-6-191313.616.5-2.9116.616.50.11
Jae Crowder2119-0.09-0.410.320.23-11-14313.215.1-1.8917.716.31.42
Vince Carter5151-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-221913.815.8-2.0016.716.50.13
Brandan Wright4443-0.19-0.310.120.01-7-181114.215.2-1.0316.216.9-0.71
Chris Kaman77-0.30-0.20-0.090.03-11-14315.714.61.1016.016.7-0.66
Shawn Marion4546-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-17-8-915.813.72.1216.117.2-1.09
Dirk Nowitzki6164-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.13-11-14314.614.8-0.1716.417.1-0.72
Mike James3536-0.46-0.04-0.410.19-22-3-1916.513.62.9416.516.7-0.13
O.J. Mayo6767-0.46-0.04-0.410.16-21-4-1714.914.10.7915.619.4-3.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 114, VAN 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
LAL 104, NYK 830.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
MIN 84, VAN 730.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%