NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	4.2 [969]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +4.7%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.1 [605]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -11.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	71%	0.04	2	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	15	50%	-0.06	2	-0.05	16	69%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	0.06	12	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	72%	0.08	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	64%	0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	14	36%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	15	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	504.3	2.4	29.5	16.4	32.0	1.8	26.3	612.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -8.2%

LAL +23.4%

LAL +6.0%

LAL +22.8%

LAL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.5	15.3	15.7	106.1	81.4	100.5
season	15.4	15.5		102.8	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	13.1	12.8	14.9	13.5
NYK	12.4	16.7	16.5	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	79	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	1	19	13.5	13.7	-0.22	15.1	16.0	-0.99
Karl Malone	78	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-1	23	13.1	15.2	-2.12	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Gary Payton	62	66	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	3	15	12.9	14.6	-1.74	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Kobe Bryant	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.01	17	4	13	13.3	14.1	-0.89	15.9	13.8	2.06
Shaquille O'Neal	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	8	5	13.0	14.5	-1.42	15.1	15.5	-0.31
Derek Fisher	44	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	23	-25	14.7	12.6	2.09	15.1	15.4	-0.34
Horace Grant	46	48	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	18	-15	14.5	12.6	1.91	15.4	15.1	0.34
Luke Walton	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	17	-13	16.1	13.3	2.84	16.5	15.1	1.35
Jannero Pargo	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	16	-11	14.5	13.5	1.03	17.4	15.1	2.26
Kareem Rush	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.13	3	18	-15	14.4	13.3	1.13	15.7	15.1	0.62
Bryon Russell	16	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.16	2	19	-17	12.8	13.6	-0.83	15.4	15.2	0.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Sweetney	15	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.14	-4	-17	13	17.4	14.9	2.51	13.6	13.5	0.12
Othella Harrington	39	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.17	-5	-16	11	16.6	14.4	2.12	14.6	12.8	1.79
Charlie Ward	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-21	21	16.7	14.6	2.09	13.6	13.5	0.17
Dikembe Mutombo	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-22	23	14.6	15.6	-1.00	13.8	13.3	0.50
Frank Williams	54	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-14	7	16.8	13.6	3.20	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Clar. Weatherspoon	45	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-17	13	17.0	13.9	3.04	12.3	14.4	-2.18
Kurt Thomas	50	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-7	-7	13.3	17.2	-3.91	14.3	12.6	1.69
Michael Doleac	56	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-5	-11	15.5	15.0	0.54	12.8	14.3	-1.50
Howard Eisley	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	-6	-9	14.1	16.8	-2.79	13.6	13.4	0.16
Allan Houston	58	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-5	-11	14.2	16.6	-2.39	13.8	13.1	0.64
Shandon Anderson	67	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.16	-25	4	-29	14.5	16.7	-2.13	13.7	13.2	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
IND 120, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%