NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	4.9 [509]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +2.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.0 [730]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -14.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	83%	0.10	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	14	64%	0.05	6	-0.10	11	82%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	63%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.06
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	30%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	17	40%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.4	33.3	15.4	29.3	1.7	27.5	134.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +17.5%

UTA +23.2%

UTA +16.9%

LAC -9.2%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.8	113.2	96.7	99.6
season	16.4	16.7		102.6	97.5
opponent	14.7	16.0		107.0	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	18.3	15.5	17.6	16.5
LAC	15.5	12.4	16.5	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	79	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	-0.02	23	-9	32	16.6	15.4	1.22	15.2	13.7	1.55
Bryon Russell	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	0	14	16.4	16.7	-0.36	15.9	12.1	3.72
Jeff Hornacek	66	66	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-9	32	15.8	18.2	-2.38	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Karl Malone	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-2	18	15.8	18.9	-3.10	16.4	10.6	5.81
John Stockton	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-4	22	16.4	16.5	-0.09	16.4	13.1	3.29
Jacque Vaughn	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	10.0	16.5	-6.54	16.0	15.0	1.00
Todd Fuller	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	10.0	16.5	-6.54	16.0	15.0	1.00
Thurl Bailey	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	18	-22	16.9	16.4	0.58	11.9	15.8	-3.88
Howard Eisley	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	18	-22	16.5	16.4	0.09	13.1	16.4	-3.29
Shandon Anderson	44	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	23	-32	17.7	15.3	2.43	13.8	16.2	-2.33
Greg Foster	15	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	21	-28	18.9	16.0	2.87	11.1	15.8	-4.63

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	50	49	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.32	14	-28	42	14.5	15.6	-1.08	16.7	16.2	0.48
Troy Hudson	20	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-18	22	13.4	15.5	-2.06	16.0	16.6	-0.62
Lamond Murray	42	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-22	30	14.1	15.7	-1.60	17.6	15.5	2.07
Brian Skinner	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-10	6	12.7	15.4	-2.70	16.7	16.4	0.29
Rodney Rogers	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-11	8	15.2	14.9	0.29	16.8	16.4	0.48
Michael Olowokandi	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-1	-12	15.8	14.3	1.42	16.6	16.4	0.21
Tyrone Nesby	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	1	-16	15.0	15.1	-0.11	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Sherman Douglas	72	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	4	-22	15.5	13.4	2.06	16.6	16.0	0.62
Eric Piatkowski	66	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.15	-24	10	-34	15.1	14.9	0.18	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Maurice Taylor	62	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	5	-24	15.8	13.3	2.49	15.9	17.8	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
LAL 104, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 96, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%