NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	4.6 [547]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.1%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.0 [709]		LVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): -13.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.03	15	74%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	66%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	56%	-0.02	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marlon Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	21	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	5	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dwayne Schintzius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	16	38%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	21	48%	-0.07	2	-0.03	12	50%	-0.06
Walter McCarty	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	35.2	16.8	26.1	2.6	25.2	133.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.7%

IND +15.1%

BOS -9.9%

IND +16.9%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.8	126.3	109.5	99.6
season	16.4	15.0		105.4	98.1
opponent	15.8	16.0		100.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	13.9	18.6	17.0	15.9
BOS	11.6	12.3	19.3	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	63	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	1	14	16.9	13.8	3.09	15.1	13.1	2.00
Reggie Miller	70	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	15.2	17.7	-2.48	14.0	15.7	-1.76
Dale Davis	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	5	6	15.3	17.4	-2.05	13.7	16.3	-2.65
Chris Mullin	40	40	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	7	2	16.8	15.2	1.65	15.6	13.5	2.08
Antonio Davis	46	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	5	6	16.3	15.5	0.79	14.9	14.0	0.89
Rik Smits	31	32	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	17.2	15.2	1.98	15.8	13.7	2.10
Jalen Rose	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.28	14	2	12	15.5	16.4	-0.87	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Travis Best	49	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	15.3	16.5	-1.22	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Derrick McKey	42	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.21	8	8	0	15.2	16.4	-1.18	14.7	14.2	0.55
Al Harrington	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	15.7	15.9	-0.19	9.5	14.8	-5.25
Austin Croshere	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	23	-30	15.7	15.9	-0.19	9.5	14.8	-5.25

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Schintzius	3	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-15	14	8.7	14.6	-5.94	8.5	16.1	-7.55
Tony Battie	35	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-24	32	14.6	14.3	0.28	17.2	15.1	2.12
Damon Jones	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-10	4	13.8	14.9	-1.17	15.5	16.2	-0.79
Marlon Garnett	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-14	12	12.4	15.6	-3.18	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Greg Minor	66	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	0	-16	15.6	11.8	3.83	16.2	15.1	1.07
Walter McCarty	73	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-1	-14	14.2	15.2	-0.99	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Dana Barros	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-3	-10	14.8	13.9	0.93	16.0	15.8	0.16
Paul Pierce	85	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.06	-16	0	-16	14.5	14.1	0.36	16.4	11.1	5.28
Vitaly Potapenko	80	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	3	-22	14.7	12.8	1.93	15.6	17.2	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
HOU 103, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%