inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 102 Excitement4.1 [972] MVPSasha Vujacic (LAL): +11.3%
Denver Nuggets 84 Comeback1.1 [629] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -17.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.060.01564%0.1100.00475%0.04
Derek Fisher0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.000.01882%0.111-0.0210%-0.01
Pau Gasol0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.00-0.03956%0.101-0.03757%-0.02
Luke Walton0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.010.07779%0.071-0.02560%-0.01
DJ Mbenga0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.021951%0.072-0.05560%-0.01
Jordan Farmar0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.041137%0.0100.00250%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.01-0.03944%0.033-0.05967%-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02928%-0.0300.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.02-0.00-0.08570%0.0630.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.022100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.02962%0.012-0.00683%0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021146%0.032-0.05250%-0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.011642%-0.021-0.004100%0.03
Kenyon Martin0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011150%0.022-0.0420%-0.04
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.0120%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.16-0.04-0.022233%-0.113-0.075100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.634.219.730.33.432.3150.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +35.8%
LAL +10.8%
DEN -0.4%
LAL +3.4%
LAL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game15.813.715.4105.285.7105.7
season14.613.3110.6108.2
opponent15.215.2105.4104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.414.115.818.415.8
DEN14.013.115.512.413.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom84860.56-0.060.620.091621415.319.5-4.2813.813.30.43
Derek Fisher62630.56-0.060.62-0.0621-32416.215.20.9514.811.83.02
Kobe Bryant71710.53-0.030.56-0.0921-32416.015.30.7714.511.82.67
Pau Gasol73740.50-0.000.51-0.0519-12015.915.50.3914.012.81.17
Vladimir Radmanovic48480.430.070.350.021441015.216.4-1.2014.612.91.66
Luke Walton48490.070.43-0.35-0.1999016.415.31.1113.114.3-1.18
Ronny Turiaf990.000.50-0.500.00018-1815.715.9-0.199.414.1-4.70
DJ Mbenga1515-0.000.50-0.510.03-119-2015.515.9-0.4414.913.51.36
Jordan Farmar3535-0.060.56-0.620.03-321-2415.216.2-0.9511.814.8-3.02
Sasha Vujacic4040-0.090.59-0.680.08-624-3016.715.21.5112.014.9-2.90

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chucky Atkins870.00-0.500.50-0.031-19208.414.2-5.8116.415.80.64
Steven Hunter870.00-0.500.50-0.031-19208.414.2-5.8116.415.80.64
Yakhouba Diawara12110.00-0.500.50-0.186-24308.914.4-5.4716.915.71.21
Nene2524-0.01-0.490.470.01-1-171613.313.9-0.5815.216.0-0.78
Eduardo Najera3638-0.01-0.490.470.16-6-12613.314.0-0.6516.515.41.09
Anthony Carter3434-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-171611.115.1-3.9816.915.31.66
J.R. Smith5051-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-141013.114.3-1.1715.516.3-0.81
Marcus Camby5655-0.42-0.08-0.330.02-15-3-1214.912.12.8315.316.5-1.26
Allen Iverson6463-0.44-0.06-0.390.05-17-1-1615.111.13.9815.316.9-1.66
Linas Kleiza6460-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-14-4-1013.713.60.1016.015.50.56
Carmelo Anthony7778-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-17-1-1614.511.03.4515.915.40.58
Kenyon Martin5657-0.580.08-0.660.10-235-2815.012.02.9215.815.9-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 114, NYK 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
SAS 105, MEM 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
DAL 102, MEM 760.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%