NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	3.5 [1127]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +12.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	76		Comeback	1.2 [507]		LVP	Hakim Warrick (MEM): -11.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	21	64%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.01	0.07	17	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.05	12	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	19	54%	0.14	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.4	32.5	19.7	28.6	3.6	30.4	144.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.7%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +10.9%

DAL +11.8%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	17.7	15.4	15.6	117.2	87.4	104.4
season	16.4	17.1		109.0	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		100.0	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.0	17.8	15.5	19.7	17.7
MEM	16.3	15.8	13.9	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.39	31	-5	36	17.6	17.8	-0.25	16.4	12.2	4.15
Dirk Nowitzki	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.29	26	0	26	17.5	18.1	-0.59	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Erick Dampier	43	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.32	25	1	24	17.0	18.3	-1.30	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Jerry Stackhouse	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	1	24	17.8	17.5	0.30	15.5	15.3	0.19
Jason Terry	50	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	16	-6	17.1	18.5	-1.40	15.6	15.2	0.42
Devin Harris	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.46	22	4	18	18.9	16.9	1.93	15.8	15.2	0.63
DeSagana Diop	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	25	-24	18.3	17.0	1.30	15.6	15.3	0.26
Adrian Griffin	49	48	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.06	0	26	-26	17.8	17.4	0.37	16.0	14.8	1.14
Josh Powell	19	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	28	-30	17.1	17.8	-0.70	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Darrell Armstrong	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	17.7	17.6	0.05	11.2	15.9	-4.71
DJ Mbenga	10	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	17.7	17.6	0.05	10.6	15.9	-5.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Burks	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	11.2	15.9	-4.71	17.7	17.6	0.05
Eddie Jones	9	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-26	26	15.6	15.4	0.12	18.0	17.6	0.38
Hakim Warrick	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-24	22	15.0	15.7	-0.66	17.9	17.5	0.42
Brian Cardinal	17	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-22	18	13.5	15.9	-2.46	18.9	17.3	1.59
Dahntay Jones	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-15	4	13.5	16.7	-3.20	18.1	17.4	0.76
Jake Tsakalidis	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-20	14	13.8	15.9	-2.11	16.9	17.9	-0.97
Bobby Jackson	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.34	-19	-7	-12	15.3	15.6	-0.27	18.3	17.1	1.23
Lorenzen Wright	35	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-14	2	16.5	14.7	1.78	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Chucky Atkins	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-14	2	15.7	15.1	0.63	17.2	18.2	-1.05
Shane Battier	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-14	2	16.1	14.3	1.85	17.0	18.7	-1.73
Pau Gasol	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	-3	-20	16.1	12.6	3.48	17.7	17.5	0.23
Mike Miller	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.46	-33	7	-40	16.2	12.9	3.31	17.9	16.8	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 116, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	96.2%
LAL 102, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%