NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +11.9%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	1.1 [541]		LVP	Earl Watson (UTA): -10.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	22	68%	0.19	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	19	53%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
John Jenkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivan Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	73%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	22	51%	0.05	2	-0.04	7	29%	-0.04
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.05	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.02	-0.05	8	22%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.5	27.0	15.4	26.6	1.7	28.0	123.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.0%

ATL +16.6%

UTA -4.0%

ATL +2.7%

ATL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.4	114.6	101.1	104.1
season	15.1	16.0		102.6	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.5	15.9	16.8	17.0	15.8
UTA	17.8	17.5	15.9	14.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-8	27	15.3	19.1	-3.77	16.4	16.6	-0.28
Kyle Korver	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-6	23	15.1	18.2	-3.08	16.5	15.8	0.69
Jeff Teague	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-7	25	15.3	17.9	-2.66	16.5	15.8	0.70
Al Horford	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	15.6	17.6	-1.97	16.6	14.3	2.35
Devin Harris	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	15.6	16.2	-0.67	15.8	17.5	-1.62
Ivan Johnson	16	17	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	12	-13	15.4	15.9	-0.50	17.1	16.2	0.90
DeShawn Stevenson	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	14	-17	18.5	14.8	3.63	16.3	16.4	-0.17
John Jenkins	25	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	19	-27	17.8	15.0	2.74	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Zaza Pachulia	22	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	19	-27	17.8	15.1	2.64	16.3	16.4	-0.06

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-17	23	14.6	17.7	-3.13	17.7	14.4	3.36
Alec Burks	50	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-16	21	16.1	16.7	-0.56	16.8	14.5	2.34
Enes Kanter	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-9	7	15.9	16.6	-0.69	18.2	14.5	3.74
Gordon Hayward	68	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.25	1	-12	13	15.5	19.1	-3.64	16.8	12.6	4.24
Randy Foye	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	0	-11	17.0	15.8	1.24	14.5	16.9	-2.41
Derrick Favors	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-7	3	16.3	16.9	-0.59	15.5	16.9	-1.40
Earl Watson	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	4	-19	17.3	15.8	1.53	14.2	16.9	-2.64
Al Jefferson	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.02	-16	5	-21	16.7	14.9	1.75	15.0	19.6	-4.59
Marvin Williams	35	35	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.04	-19	8	-27	18.7	14.9	3.81	13.4	17.4	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, MEM 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
IND 98, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
HOU 117, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%