NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	4.3 [917]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +12.5%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.1 [866]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -17.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.03	-0.07	18	60%	0.18	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rik Smits	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	20	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	8	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
LaSalle Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	42%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.04	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	11	35%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	0.01	19	39%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	18	34%	-0.11	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	28.9	15.0	23.0	1.8	26.0	123.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.1%

IND +5.9%

TOR -11.9%

IND +2.5%

IND +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.6	102.1	85.7	104.4
season	15.3	16.1		103.6	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.3		105.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	13.1	14.6	13.9	14.1
TOR	17.2	18.2	14.2	13.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	78	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	1	12	14.4	12.5	1.95	15.1	17.8	-2.68
Reggie Miller	78	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-5	24	14.3	13.0	1.33	16.2	12.6	3.56
Rik Smits	67	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	0	14	14.9	12.2	2.74	15.8	15.1	0.64
Antonio Davis	64	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-1	16	14.9	12.5	2.33	16.2	14.4	1.71
Fred Hoiberg	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	10	-6	13.7	14.4	-0.70	14.6	16.4	-1.78
Duane Ferrell	36	39	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	4	6	14.9	13.6	1.29	16.9	14.7	2.17
Dale Davis	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	14	-14	12.9	15.3	-2.34	14.9	16.3	-1.33
LaSalle Thompson	4	4	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	10	-6	8.7	14.3	-5.57	16.0	15.6	0.43
Travis Best	38	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	15	-16	13.1	14.7	-1.62	14.2	16.4	-2.21
Erick Dampier	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	19	-24	10.6	14.4	-3.77	12.9	15.8	-2.95
Jalen Rose	13	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	17	-20	12.3	14.4	-2.05	18.1	15.2	2.87

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	27	26	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-19	24	14.4	16.0	-1.58	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Sharone Wright	21	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-14	14	15.9	15.5	0.40	12.3	14.5	-2.22
Martin Lewis	17	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-17	20	12.6	16.2	-3.63	13.6	14.2	-0.65
Reggie Slater	24	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-13	12	13.4	16.3	-2.94	13.3	14.4	-1.03
Carlos Rogers	40	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-11	8	14.9	16.0	-1.08	12.6	15.1	-2.53
Oliver Miller	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-8	2	16.8	15.1	1.74	14.2	14.0	0.12
Clifford Rozier	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-4	-6	16.4	15.3	1.12	15.0	13.7	1.31
Marcus Camby	71	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-7	0	15.9	14.7	1.23	14.8	12.3	2.49
Walt Williams	67	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	1	-16	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.4	13.4	1.03
Doug Christie	84	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	15.9	13.7	2.19	14.5	11.9	2.61
Damon Stoudamire	80	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	6	-26	15.8	14.6	1.20	14.1	13.8	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ATL 102, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
PHX 95, DAL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%