NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	3.7 [1017]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +12.8%
Dallas Mavericks	77		Comeback	1.1 [1078]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -12.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	13	71%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.02	-0.08	15	46%	0.02	3	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	-0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	60%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	16	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	30%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	18	50%	-0.05	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	22.3	16.5	24.3	2.5	23.6	112.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.9%

DAL -0.0%

PHX +25.1%

DAL -19.7%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	16.4	15.6	96.9	80.2	102.5
season	15.0	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.6	14.2	14.7	12.9	13.3
DAL	17.9	15.8	18.0	14.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	72	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-1	20	13.9	11.5	2.39	16.8	15.5	1.26
Jason Kidd	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	1	16	13.4	12.8	0.57	16.9	14.2	2.66
Antonio McDyess	80	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	4	10	13.8	10.9	2.88	16.6	15.6	1.00
Steve Nash	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	3	12	14.4	12.2	2.18	17.3	15.5	1.81
Mark Bryant	35	36	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	1	16	13.7	13.1	0.61	18.2	15.3	2.92
Kevin Johnson	47	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	14	-10	12.7	13.8	-1.10	15.8	17.0	-1.26
Danny Manning	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	16	-14	12.9	13.7	-0.78	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Hot Rod Williams	18	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	14	-10	10.9	13.8	-2.88	15.6	16.6	-1.00
George McCloud	38	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	20	-22	12.2	14.0	-1.73	14.4	17.6	-3.26
Marko Milic	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	9.2	13.7	-4.41	12.1	16.8	-4.69
Cedric Ceballos	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	19	-20	13.1	13.3	-0.24	15.1	16.6	-1.54

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bubba Wells	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-19	20	14.5	16.7	-2.20	11.9	13.5	-1.57
Erick Strickland	37	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-21	24	16.8	16.2	0.58	13.6	13.1	0.53
Martin Muursepp	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-18	18	14.1	17.1	-2.97	12.1	13.7	-1.58
Chris Anstey	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-8	-2	16.4	16.5	-0.05	12.2	14.3	-2.07
Khalid Reeves	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-11	4	17.4	16.2	1.24	11.3	13.8	-2.46
Dennis Scott	78	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-7	-4	16.2	17.2	-0.98	13.6	11.8	1.79
Shawn Bradley	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-6	-6	16.7	16.1	0.65	14.4	12.1	2.24
A.C. Green	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-2	-14	17.6	14.2	3.33	14.0	12.0	1.97
Hubert Davis	73	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	1	-20	16.0	17.9	-1.95	13.5	12.7	0.72
Michael Finley	81	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	1	-20	16.5	16.2	0.27	13.1	14.5	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, LAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAS 104, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 116, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%