NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	3.6 [1077]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +6.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	83		Comeback	1.2 [541]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -9.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	12	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	24	60%	0.12	6	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	66%	0.09	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	18%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	0.12	11	61%	-0.03	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	0.06	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	12	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.7	28.1	19.4	23.5	3.6	32.0	133.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.2%

DET +6.4%

DET +14.5%

DET +3.2%

DET +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	17.1	15.4	15.4	109.0	94.3	104.5
season	16.8	15.3		106.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	17.5	16.0	19.6	17.1
LAL	13.8	16.8	17.5	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-3	20	16.9	18.1	-1.17	15.2	16.1	-0.83
Nazr Mohammed	45	44	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-6	26	15.6	18.7	-3.06	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Ronald Murray	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	0	14	16.9	17.9	-0.97	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Chauncey Billups	74	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	-1	16	17.5	15.5	1.93	15.5	14.9	0.64
Rasheed Wallace	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	17.9	15.6	2.35	16.0	14.2	1.77
Antonio McDyess	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	12	-10	16.7	17.8	-1.09	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Lindsey Hunter	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	12	-10	17.8	16.6	1.20	15.4	15.4	0.09
Dale Davis	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	19	-24	16.6	17.2	-0.57	16.5	15.2	1.28
Carlos Delfino	22	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	21	-28	18.6	16.7	1.93	15.2	15.5	-0.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronny Turiaf	12	11	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-19	24	16.5	15.2	1.28	16.6	17.2	-0.57
Maurice Evans	37	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-23	32	14.6	16.0	-1.39	18.8	15.9	2.87
Jordan Farmar	37	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-20	26	15.3	15.5	-0.17	18.7	15.9	2.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-14	14	16.6	14.9	1.67	17.8	16.9	0.92
Andrew Bynum	36	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-2	-10	14.7	15.9	-1.19	16.2	17.8	-1.58
Brian Cook	32	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	2	-18	17.2	14.3	2.91	17.6	16.9	0.73
Lamar Odom	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-9	4	15.3	15.9	-0.57	16.8	19.7	-2.89
Smush Parker	51	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	6	-26	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.9	18.7	-2.73
Luke Walton	64	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	2	-18	14.9	16.7	-1.80	16.7	18.2	-1.47
Kobe Bryant	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.01	-21	7	-28	15.2	16.0	-0.74	17.1	17.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 95, DAL 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 109, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DEN 116, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%