NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	116		Excitement	3.8 [1105]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +11.0%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.0 [569]		LVP	Hakim Warrick (PHX): -11.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.07	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	6	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	13	69%	0.07	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Gary Forbes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Garret Siler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	9	45%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.07	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	41%	-0.04	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	11	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	10	48%	0.02	4	-0.13	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	31.2	15.5	23.2	2.4	30.6	127.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +45.0%

PHX -13.0%

DEN +1.0%

DEN +16.5%

DEN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	12.8	14.3	15.5	109.4	91.5	105.7
season	14.3	14.5		110.7	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.3	12.1	11.0	15.0	12.8
PHX	14.3	15.1	15.1	12.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-3	25	12.5	13.7	-1.12	14.5	13.9	0.65
Nene	60	59	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.13	22	-3	25	12.4	13.3	-0.91	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Kenyon Martin	58	58	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-2	23	12.9	12.7	0.18	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Wilson Chandler	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.12	19	0	19	13.5	11.8	1.69	13.4	15.9	-2.42
Raymond Felton	75	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	10	-1	12.8	13.0	-0.19	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Gary Forbes	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	12	-5	12.7	12.9	-0.25	14.7	14.0	0.73
J.R. Smith	49	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	19	-19	12.7	13.0	-0.33	15.2	13.5	1.69
Al Harrington	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	19	-19	12.3	13.1	-0.73	15.8	13.6	2.18
Kosta Koufos	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	13.8	12.7	1.07	10.9	14.8	-3.86
Timofey Mozgov	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	13.8	12.7	1.07	10.9	14.8	-3.86
Chris Andersen	33	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	20	-21	13.2	12.7	0.51	15.6	13.7	1.84

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garret Siler	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	10.3	14.6	-4.34	12.5	12.9	-0.36
Zabian Dowdell	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	10.9	14.8	-3.86	13.8	12.7	1.07
Josh Childress	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-22	25	15.2	13.8	1.37	13.8	12.3	1.49
Aaron Brooks	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-18	17	14.6	14.1	0.48	13.1	12.7	0.41
Mickael Pietrus	50	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-20	21	15.1	13.6	1.51	12.7	13.0	-0.30
Marcin Gortat	60	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-24	29	15.9	12.3	3.52	13.9	11.3	2.60
Jared Dudley	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-13	7	16.0	13.1	2.88	12.1	13.3	-1.16
Vince Carter	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-6	-7	13.7	14.8	-1.14	13.3	12.4	0.88
Robin Lopez	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.31	-24	5	-29	12.3	15.9	-3.52	11.3	13.9	-2.60
Hakim Warrick	56	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-3	-13	14.3	14.4	-0.15	13.0	12.7	0.33
Steve Nash	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-1	-17	14.1	14.6	-0.48	12.7	13.1	-0.41
Grant Hill	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.24	-25	6	-31	13.6	15.4	-1.76	12.2	13.8	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 113, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
DEN 103, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
GSW 108, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%