NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	3.6 [1076]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +14.0%
Toronto Raptors	90		Comeback	1.1 [1075]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -14.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	19	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	11	64%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	11	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	-0.00	0.09	17	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	12	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	16	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.02	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	11	42%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.2	14.6	22.4	2.4	28.6	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.1%

ORL +2.7%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +6.1%

ORL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	15.5	115.3	93.8	106.4
season	15.3	15.1		107.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		108.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.7	13.6	15.0	16.8	15.0
TOR	14.7	14.1	15.0	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	68	68	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.30	33	-10	43	15.5	13.7	1.81	15.2	13.5	1.74
Jameer Nelson	64	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.37	32	-9	41	14.3	16.2	-1.91	15.3	13.5	1.80
Rashard Lewis	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.35	31	-8	39	15.0	14.8	0.22	15.1	13.3	1.79
Courtney Lee	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.42	33	-10	43	13.8	17.4	-3.58	15.7	12.5	3.22
Hedo Turkoglu	73	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	14	-5	15.9	12.2	3.75	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Mickael Pietrus	62	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	22	-21	15.0	15.0	-0.02	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Marcin Gortat	3	3	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	23	-23	6.0	15.3	-9.27	17.7	14.6	3.06
Brian Cook	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	10.8	15.3	-4.43	16.6	14.6	2.01
Anthony Johnson	34	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	32	-41	16.2	14.3	1.91	13.5	15.3	-1.80
Tony Battie	39	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.29	-16	39	-55	15.5	14.7	0.83	13.0	15.7	-2.67

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	35	39	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.19	9	-32	41	13.2	15.6	-2.40	16.1	14.3	1.76
Jake Voskuhl	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	16.6	14.6	2.01	10.8	15.3	-4.43
Nathan Jawai	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	16.6	14.6	2.01	10.8	15.3	-4.43
Roko Leni Ukic	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-22	21	16.6	14.6	2.01	10.8	15.3	-4.43
Jermaine O'Neal	52	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-18	13	14.8	14.6	0.24	16.5	13.2	3.31
Joey Graham	62	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-17	11	14.6	14.9	-0.33	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Jason Kapono	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-20	17	14.5	14.8	-0.33	15.2	14.9	0.27
Anthony Parker	47	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-3	-17	15.0	14.4	0.68	15.4	14.6	0.76
Andrea Bargnani	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	-1	-21	14.8	14.4	0.35	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Jamario Moon	40	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-8	-7	14.4	14.9	-0.47	15.1	14.9	0.19
Chris Bosh	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	0	-23	14.7	14.7	-0.04	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Jose Calderon	57	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.22	-27	4	-31	15.1	14.1	1.00	14.2	16.1	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 121, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 116, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CLE 84, ORL 57	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%