NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	121		Excitement	3.8 [1092]		MVP	Luke Babbitt (NOP): +10.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	100		Comeback	1.0 [485]		LVP	Alexis Ajinca (NOP): -10.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	14	71%	0.16	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	11	70%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Archie Goodwin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.01	0.11	11	77%	0.07	3	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Alan Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	67%	0.01	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.01	-0.06	16	49%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.14	-0.01	0.14	14	72%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	26.2	15.3	27.4	1.8	31.0	126.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.8%

PHX +11.5%

PHX +2.3%

NOP -3.8%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOP	NBA	PHX	NOP	NBA
this game	13.2	15.3	14.9	119.8	99.0	105.1
season	14.4	14.3		100.9	104.3
opponent	15.0	14.4		107.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.8	14.3	13.4	13.4	13.2
NOP	17.8	15.1	15.9	12.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.12	21	0	21	12.9	13.6	-0.64	16.4	13.9	2.56
Devin Booker	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	4	13	12.8	13.7	-0.84	16.7	13.7	2.92
Tyson Chandler	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	4	13	12.9	13.4	-0.51	17.1	14.0	3.10
Alex Len	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	10	1	13.2	13.3	-0.11	15.8	14.7	1.14
Ronnie Price	48	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	18	-15	13.5	12.9	0.60	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Archie Goodwin	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.30	18	3	15	12.9	13.5	-0.60	15.5	15.1	0.34
Mirza Teletovic	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	11	-1	13.6	12.6	1.01	15.4	15.1	0.28
Alan Williams	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	19	-17	12.5	13.4	-0.82	12.8	15.9	-3.04
John Jenkins	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	16	-11	13.6	13.0	0.61	13.2	16.6	-3.42
Jon Leuer	44	45	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	21	-21	13.6	12.9	0.64	13.9	16.4	-2.56
Chase Budinger	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	20	-19	13.5	13.0	0.45	13.8	16.2	-2.40

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-22	23	15.0	15.5	-0.48	13.3	13.2	0.16
Jordan Hamilton	57	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-14	7	14.3	16.6	-2.28	13.4	13.0	0.44
Tim Frazier	68	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-15	9	14.2	17.5	-3.32	13.5	12.7	0.80
Luke Babbitt	72	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-14	7	14.3	17.8	-3.44	13.7	11.9	1.82
James Ennis	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-18	15	15.9	14.0	1.89	13.8	11.8	2.00
Omer Asik	28	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-5	-11	17.8	14.4	3.43	11.8	13.7	-1.95
Dante Cunningham	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	2	-25	15.7	14.7	1.00	12.5	14.5	-2.06
Alexis Ajinca	45	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	1	-23	17.5	13.6	3.94	13.3	13.1	0.26
Toney Douglas	65	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	1	-23	15.0	15.8	-0.82	12.7	14.1	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 113, TOR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
CHH 105, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0	95.8%
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%