NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	3.9 [1057]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +8.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	88		Comeback	1.0 [612]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CHA): -11.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.02	-0.09	22	47%	0.13	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	73%	0.07	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	72%	0.12	6	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	10	40%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	10	25%	0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Burleson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	70%	0.06	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	12	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	7	35%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	30.3	14.8	32.1	1.8	31.1	139.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.6%

DAL +12.1%

DAL +10.3%

CHA -6.0%

CHA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHA	NBA	DAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.6	102.1	94.6	104.4
season	16.4	14.8		109.0	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.1	13.9	13.1	20.1	15.9
CHA	16.4	16.1	14.1	11.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-2	14	15.4	18.7	-3.36	14.9	12.7	2.18
Josh Howard	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	4	2	16.0	15.7	0.29	14.0	16.3	-2.26
Erick Dampier	38	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	5	0	16.4	15.6	0.87	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Jason Terry	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	3	4	15.4	16.4	-1.08	15.2	13.9	1.36
Doug Christie	43	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	3	4	13.4	17.9	-4.44	14.9	14.2	0.69
Devin Harris	47	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	16.7	15.1	1.66	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Marquis Daniels	48	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	7	-4	17.4	14.4	2.92	13.9	15.2	-1.36
DeSagana Diop	52	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	6	-2	15.6	16.2	-0.57	15.4	13.7	1.69
Keith Van Horn	40	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	17.2	15.0	2.24	15.1	14.2	0.87
Darrell Armstrong	12	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	10	-10	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.3	14.6	-0.29

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Burleson	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	8.5	14.8	-6.33	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Jake Voskuhl	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-9	8	14.7	14.5	0.16	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Sean May	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-17	24	13.5	15.0	-1.57	19.3	14.5	4.84
Matt Carroll	37	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-10	10	13.5	15.2	-1.74	16.0	15.8	0.22
Melvin Ely	43	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-9	8	15.0	14.2	0.86	18.0	14.0	4.04
Raymond Felton	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	14.9	14.4	0.45	17.8	15.1	2.67
Bernard Robinson	18	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-1	-8	15.8	14.3	1.51	14.7	16.2	-1.44
Kareem Rush	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-8	6	13.9	16.0	-2.18	16.0	15.6	0.41
Brevin Knight	64	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	15.0	13.5	1.56	15.8	16.2	-0.39
Primoz Brezec	41	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	4	-18	15.5	13.8	1.66	13.2	18.0	-4.85
Keith Bogans	54	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.91	15.1	17.1	-2.08
Emeka Okafor	53	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	5	-20	15.6	13.1	2.52	15.1	17.0	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 104, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAC 125, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 84, UTA 60	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%