NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	104		Excitement	4.0 [1037]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +14.7%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.2 [502]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -14.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	7	79%	0.15	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	76%	0.09	3	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	12	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.08	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	7	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	27%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.0	28.3	15.0	27.2	2.0	28.0	130.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +32.6%

CHA +7.4%

UTA -4.6%

CHA +10.8%

CHA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.6	111.8	96.7	104.4
season	14.8	17.0		100.5	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.1	13.4	15.4	18.9	14.8
UTA	17.9	16.0	15.2	16.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	66	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	7	1	14.7	15.0	-0.37	15.9	17.8	-1.94
Primoz Brezec	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	7	1	14.5	15.6	-1.13	16.3	16.5	-0.23
Gerald Wallace	76	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	3	9	15.2	12.8	2.46	16.8	14.2	2.64
Matt Carroll	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	2	11	12.5	15.8	-3.28	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Raymond Felton	74	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	8	-1	15.3	12.6	2.69	16.7	15.3	1.34
Jumaine Jones	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	10	-5	15.7	13.6	2.11	16.6	16.0	0.57
Melvin Ely	40	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	7	1	13.7	15.6	-1.88	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Kareem Rush	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	8	-1	14.6	14.9	-0.36	16.6	16.2	0.42
Jake Voskuhl	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	8	-1	15.6	14.5	1.13	16.5	16.3	0.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-17	19	12.8	16.9	-4.07	19.1	14.2	4.90
CJ Miles	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-17	19	12.8	16.9	-4.07	19.1	14.2	4.90
Greg Ostertag	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-14	13	16.3	16.4	-0.05	18.8	13.7	5.19
Jarron Collins	39	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-11	7	16.8	16.1	0.69	13.6	15.7	-2.04
Devin Brown	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	16.9	15.9	1.01	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Carlos Boozer	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-9	3	15.3	17.6	-2.36	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Keith McLeod	43	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-4	-7	17.0	15.9	1.10	14.1	15.4	-1.24
Milt Palacio	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-9	3	15.7	17.4	-1.72	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Matt Harpring	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-4	-7	16.7	15.6	1.10	14.9	14.5	0.37
Deron Williams	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	0	-15	16.6	16.0	0.53	15.2	14.0	1.20
Mehmet Okur	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.05	-21	6	-27	17.7	13.6	4.11	13.9	16.6	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%