inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement3.7 [1071] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +9.9%
San Antonio Spurs 81 Comeback1.2 [736] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -11.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.01-0.01888%0.146-0.049100%0.03
Kenyon Martin0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.031462%0.1000.0010%-0.02
Nene0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.010.01773%0.101-0.02875%-0.01
J.R. Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.03636%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cheikh Samb0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.031552%0.065-0.091080%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.0430%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.000.00638%-0.013-0.071100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00167%0.011-0.0010%-0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06533%0.012-0.012100%0.01
Blake Ahearn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.01944%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.011150%0.022-0.04475%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.06-0.020.071167%0.023-0.058100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01523%-0.0400.00333%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.000.03837%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.000.00847%-0.034-0.061100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.020.011336%-0.062-0.05757%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.432.215.828.22.428.2136.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.9%
DEN +6.2%
DEN +2.5%
SAS -3.0%
DEN +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.216.815.5101.190.0106.4
season14.416.4109.5106.6
opponent15.715.7103.2105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.013.616.316.815.2
SAS18.716.418.014.516.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenyon Martin65650.55-0.050.60-0.1825-154014.616.8-2.1917.116.01.08
Carmelo Anthony65650.430.070.36-0.0416-62215.813.52.3017.515.12.36
Chauncey Billups74740.390.110.280.0412-21415.613.22.4216.817.0-0.22
J.R. Smith45460.320.180.140.0882615.415.00.3618.215.42.72
Nene59580.280.220.060.0291815.913.82.1417.615.42.25
Anthony Carter44460.210.29-0.080.1237-414.515.8-1.3316.916.70.19
Linas Kleiza33350.140.36-0.230.14010-1014.315.7-1.3816.517.0-0.46
Renaldo Balkman19170.100.40-0.300.30-717-2414.515.4-0.8914.617.3-2.75
Dahntay Jones35350.080.42-0.330.20-414-1814.715.5-0.8116.217.2-1.02
Chucky Atkins760.000.50-0.500.18-616-2215.015.2-0.195.717.6-11.95
Cheikh Samb430.000.50-0.500.18-616-2216.515.11.385.317.2-11.89

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Blake Ahearn1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-192812.317.6-5.2816.614.91.68
Anthony Tolliver1515-0.01-0.490.49-0.248-182613.917.4-3.5517.714.72.99
Ime Udoka4243-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-111215.418.0-2.6114.316.0-1.63
Fabricio Oberto2828-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-3-417.416.60.7814.215.6-1.45
Matt Bonner5048-0.18-0.320.13-0.273-131616.717.0-0.2715.714.61.14
George Hill5555-0.20-0.300.10-0.345-152015.918.3-2.3515.914.11.79
Kurt Thomas2324-0.20-0.300.100.04-8-2-615.817.2-1.3414.915.3-0.36
Bruce Bowen3335-0.26-0.24-0.010.13-133-1617.916.21.7216.014.71.35
Jacque Vaughn3535-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-155-2018.315.92.3514.115.9-1.79
Michael Finley5353-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-122-1417.316.21.0715.614.51.13
Roger Mason Jr.4846-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.11-8-2-618.415.03.3313.816.6-2.85
Tim Duncan5555-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-133-1617.615.61.9515.215.20.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, MEM 740.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%
LAC 120, ORL 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
CHA 110, PHI 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%