NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	120		Excitement	4.4 [959]		MVP	Tobias Harris (LAC): +19.2%
Orlando Magic	95		Comeback	1.1 [930]		LVP	Avery Bradley (LAC): -7.0%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.02	0.04	10	87%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.21	0.00	0.14	13	78%	0.10	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Milos Teodosic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jerome Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.05
Mike Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.09	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Frazier Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	21	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	38%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	30.1	14.4	28.4	1.7	27.3	125.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.0%

LAC +13.6%

LAC +14.1%

ORL -5.4%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.3	122.4	96.9	109.3
season	13.9	14.9		111.3	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		107.2	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	13.0	16.2	15.8	15.1
ORL	15.4	14.2	13.8	13.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milos Teodosic	35	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	4	17	13.6	16.0	-2.43	15.4	13.7	1.68
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.32	22	3	19	13.4	17.2	-3.78	14.9	13.5	1.42
Montrezl Harrell	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.31	21	4	17	14.0	16.5	-2.44	14.9	13.5	1.42
Danilo Gallinari	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	15	-5	16.9	13.5	3.30	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Avery Bradley	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	17	-9	17.0	13.5	3.51	13.3	15.1	-1.71
Mike Scott	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	9	7	13.3	16.9	-3.65	14.7	13.8	0.88
Lou Williams	44	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	10	5	12.7	17.1	-4.45	14.9	13.7	1.28
Boban Marjanovic	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	21	-17	16.5	14.0	2.44	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Patrick Beverley	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	22	-19	17.2	13.4	3.78	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Tobias Harris	54	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	22	-19	15.6	14.5	1.07	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Jerome Robinson	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	18.2	14.8	3.42	13.1	14.4	-1.29
Tyrone Wallace	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	18.3	14.8	3.52	12.3	14.4	-2.12

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Frazier Jr.	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	13.1	14.4	-1.29	18.2	14.8	3.42
Isaiah Briscoe	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	13.1	14.4	-1.29	18.2	14.8	3.42
Khem Birch	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	13.1	14.4	-1.29	18.2	14.8	3.42
Jonathan Isaac	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-23	21	14.7	14.1	0.58	20.0	13.8	6.19
Jarell Martin	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-19	13	12.9	14.5	-1.59	14.8	15.2	-0.45
Terrence Ross	43	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.23	-13	-12	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.0	16.1	-2.18
Jerian Grant	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.29	-16	-9	-7	14.5	14.0	0.46	13.2	16.9	-3.69
Nikola Vucevic	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-9	-7	14.1	14.6	-0.48	15.2	15.0	0.25
Mo Bamba	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.28	-20	-5	-15	15.3	13.4	1.91	13.1	16.8	-3.71
D.J. Augustin	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-16	7	14.0	14.5	-0.46	16.9	13.2	3.69
Evan Fournier	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-19	13	13.8	14.8	-0.97	16.6	13.2	3.43
Aaron Gordon	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-16	7	14.1	14.5	-0.41	15.2	15.1	0.14
Wes Iwundu	66	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	0	-25	15.1	12.5	2.61	13.1	19.4	-6.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
WAS 97, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	96.2%