NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	4.3 [981]		MVP	Darius Morris (LAL): +18.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.1 [910]		LVP	Dorell Wright (PHI): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Morris	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	8	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.12	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	21	67%	0.19	5	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.05	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Devin Ebanks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	23	64%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	67%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.08	5	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.3	14.8	23.2	2.5	28.2	118.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +16.8%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +15.7%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.9	15.4	120.7	105.4	104.1
season	14.9	15.5		106.0	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.9	15.9	15.8	15.3
PHI	15.5	18.5	14.8	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	2	9	15.4	14.7	0.67	16.7	10.9	5.89
Jodie Meeks	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	5	3	15.8	13.9	1.86	15.9	15.6	0.30
Kobe Bryant	77	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	3	7	15.4	14.7	0.64	15.5	17.6	-2.13
Metta World Peace	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	2	9	15.6	14.5	1.12	15.4	17.2	-1.80
Devin Ebanks	40	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	14.2	16.1	-1.85	16.1	15.7	0.43
Chris Duhon	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	6	1	15.2	15.4	-0.27	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Darius Morris	34	34	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	7	-1	15.4	15.2	0.27	16.9	15.3	1.66
Antawn Jamison	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	9	-5	14.2	15.7	-1.47	17.8	15.2	2.60
Robert Sacre	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	11	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.67	10.9	16.7	-5.89
Earl Clark	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	18.0	15.2	2.79	2.0	16.0	-14.01

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maalik Wayns	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	2.0	16.0	-14.01	18.0	15.2	2.79
Damien Wilkins	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-14	15	12.6	16.9	-4.28	17.3	14.7	2.61
Royal Ivey	6	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-6	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.74	15.5	15.3	0.24
Kwame Brown	42	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-11	9	17.5	14.5	2.90	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Lavoy Allen	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-5	-3	17.8	15.5	2.27	16.7	15.0	1.70
Dorell Wright	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-17	21	15.6	16.2	-0.60	15.9	14.6	1.25
Jason Richardson	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.5	15.0	1.47	15.4	15.1	0.32
Thaddeus Young	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	15.4	16.8	-1.41	14.7	16.5	-1.71
Spencer Hawes	49	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.1	16.7	-1.65	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Nick Young	80	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-4	-5	15.9	15.5	0.46	15.1	16.6	-1.56
Evan Turner	83	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	1	-15	16.3	12.1	4.21	15.1	16.4	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAC 120, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
WAS 97, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	96.3%