NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	118		Excitement	4.2 [1017]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +27.1%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.2 [918]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -9.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.08	-0.01	13	77%	0.28	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.07
Gary Neal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	4	75%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	15	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	7	52%	-0.03	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.02
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	15	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	22	68%	0.11	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	16	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	16	41%	-0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	27.4	15.3	30.2	2.7	28.6	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.0%

SAS +23.0%

SAS +4.1%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.5	116.8	97.0	105.7
season	15.5	14.8		109.3	106.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.7	13.5	14.5	17.7	14.5
GSW	14.0	16.5	13.2	12.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.32	31	-11	42	13.6	16.1	-2.44	14.5	13.1	1.46
Gary Neal	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	10	0	15.9	13.6	2.22	13.6	14.2	-0.59
DeJuan Blair	59	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	10	0	13.9	15.5	-1.61	14.2	13.6	0.59
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	8	4	14.2	15.2	-1.01	14.9	12.1	2.76
George Hill	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	5	10	14.2	15.0	-0.70	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Tony Parker	62	63	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	17	-14	13.7	15.8	-2.14	14.6	12.9	1.66
Ime Udoka	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	14	-8	16.5	13.9	2.59	11.5	14.8	-3.27
Richard Jefferson	64	64	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	25	-30	14.2	15.0	-0.78	14.5	13.1	1.38
Antonio McDyess	6	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	13	-6	17.0	14.4	2.62	16.0	13.9	2.15
Tiago Splitter	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	19	-18	17.1	14.0	3.14	9.9	14.9	-4.91
Matt Bonner	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	13	-6	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.3	13.8	0.49
Chris Quinn	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	22.0	14.1	7.94	8.2	14.3	-6.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	8.2	14.5	-6.22	19.7	14.1	5.57
Jeff Adrien	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	8.2	14.5	-6.22	19.7	14.1	5.57
Vladimir Radmanovic	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-15	10	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.3	14.3	1.04
Dan Gadzuric	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-18	16	12.5	14.2	-1.68	19.6	13.9	5.73
Reggie Williams	22	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-10	0	14.6	13.8	0.78	17.8	13.7	4.13
David Lee	78	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-11	2	14.2	13.3	0.88	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Rodney Carney	37	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.05	-12	-8	-4	14.5	13.7	0.76	17.0	13.2	3.82
Andris Biedrins	69	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-6	-8	14.5	12.9	1.62	13.1	17.3	-4.12
Stephen Curry	86	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-6	-8	13.8	14.8	-0.96	13.8	19.2	-5.39
Monta Ellis	72	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-4	-12	14.5	12.7	1.86	13.4	17.3	-3.94
Dorell Wright	90	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	-2	-16	14.1	13.3	0.79	14.0	20.0	-6.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
WAS 97, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	95.9%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%