inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 94 Excitement1.9 [459] MVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): +19.5%
Miami Heat 97 Comeback1.7 [943] LVPTrae Young (ATL): -24.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.20.140.05-0.002166%0.314-0.111191%0.03
Onyeka Okongwu0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.060.00553%0.0900.00580%0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Delon Wright-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.00650%0.032-0.052100%0.02
John Collins-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.01841%0.001-0.031100%0.00
Kevin Huerter-0.030,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.020.03967%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Clint Capela-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.070.02-0.080.021155%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Trae Young-0.250,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25-0.20-0.07-0.031233%-0.106-0.15978%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.180.180.040.13-0.011167%0.253-0.07875%0.01
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.040.021664%0.152-0.044100%0.02
Max Strus0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.090.090.040.02-0.031262%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011257%0.093-0.074100%0.02
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.02-0.02850%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.01-0.021237%0.002-0.0430%-0.04
P.J. Tucker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.01633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.53.034.215.436.43.543.8163.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.1%
ATL -7.8%
MIA +0.4%
MIA +21.3%
MIA +8.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMIANBAATLMIANBA
this game15.815.614.5104.4104.3110.8
season14.614.9114.3112.0
opponent14.914.5107.6113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.815.315.016.215.8
MIA13.916.015.717.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari37380.02-0.520.54-0.3011-142516.715.21.4316.115.30.73
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot010.01-0.510.510.010-330.015.8-15.833.015.8-12.78
Onyeka Okongwu4748-0.11-0.390.29-0.4311-142515.915.70.1716.215.11.12
Delon Wright5758-0.19-0.310.13-0.397-101716.115.40.6515.416.0-0.57
De'Andre Hunter8082-0.24-0.260.01-0.333-6915.617.8-2.2116.310.65.68
Clint Capela3939-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-1613-2915.516.1-0.5215.515.8-0.32
Trae Young7779-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.39-30-316.213.82.4115.814.81.01
Kevin Huerter6468-0.530.03-0.56-0.29-85-1315.217.3-2.0715.217.0-1.80
John Collins4952-0.600.10-0.71-0.02-2017-3715.716.0-0.2614.816.7-1.94

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Tucker62600.69-0.190.880.3412-92116.015.01.0215.416.6-1.20
Victor Oladipo73690.59-0.090.690.397-41115.316.9-1.6015.018.7-3.76
Bam Adebayo80770.54-0.040.580.395-2715.317.5-2.1115.915.60.25
Gabe Vincent58550.500.000.490.239-61514.916.9-1.9416.614.71.92
Max Strus63610.320.180.140.3203-315.815.40.3615.416.7-1.21
Tyler Herro64620.070.43-0.350.25-69-1516.014.81.2416.115.20.90
Duncan Robinson22230.010.49-0.480.04-14-516.715.31.3617.015.41.51
Dewayne Dedmon45-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-25-718.515.52.9818.615.72.93
Caleb Martin3938-0.160.66-0.830.10-912-2115.715.60.1716.015.70.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.84,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 95, ORL 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,194.0%
LAC 120, GSW 1270.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.86,0.72,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.96,1,1,193.4%
GSW 98, LAC 1100.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,192.8%