NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	120		Excitement	6.5 [506]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): +19.1%
Golden State Warriors	127		Comeback	2.2 [663]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -12.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	19	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.16	-0.05	0.11	17	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Mike Taylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	15	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	42%	0.01	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.01	12	83%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	10	64%	0.24	4	-0.11	13	92%	0.06
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	-0.00	0.05	19	71%	0.16	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.04	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	25.4	15.4	31.4	2.4	38.6	142.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +70.6%

LAC -11.9%

LAC -10.5%

GSW +8.3%

LAC -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	12.2	15.5	114.3	119.8	106.4
season	15.7	13.8		100.7	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		111.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.8	15.6	14.1	13.2	15.1
GSW	11.0	12.1	13.1	12.5	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	12	12	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-11	15	15.0	15.1	-0.12	13.8	12.0	1.83
Marcus Camby	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.9	14.4	1.41	12.4	12.0	0.36
Steve Novak	51	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-13	19	14.0	16.1	-2.07	11.9	12.5	-0.64
Zach Randolph	63	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	14.5	16.0	-1.57	12.2	12.1	0.10
Fred Jones	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-8	9	14.5	15.9	-1.38	11.9	12.6	-0.64
Chris Kaman	43	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	5	-17	16.7	14.0	2.78	12.8	11.8	0.93
Eric Gordon	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	15.7	14.0	1.75	12.7	11.3	1.43
Al Thornton	92	92	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.19	-14	7	-21	15.1	15.0	0.12	12.0	13.6	-1.65
Baron Davis	86	88	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.17	-19	12	-31	14.9	16.2	-1.29	11.8	14.2	-2.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	84	82	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-9	25	12.2	12.1	0.09	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Anthony Morrow	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-3	13	12.0	12.7	-0.69	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Anthony Randolph	61	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-4	15	12.2	12.3	-0.10	13.9	16.5	-2.53
Corey Maggette	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	7	-7	12.0	12.6	-0.65	14.3	16.7	-2.38
CJ Watson	26	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	1	5	10.5	12.7	-2.21	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Monta Ellis	83	84	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	4	-1	12.5	11.1	1.38	15.1	15.0	0.19
Ronny Turiaf	52	54	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	6	-5	13.1	11.4	1.71	16.6	13.5	3.03
Brandan Wright	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	10	-13	12.0	12.3	-0.30	16.7	14.4	2.28
Marco Belinelli	34	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	12.7	12.0	0.69	16.5	14.5	2.01
Jermareo Davidson	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	13	-19	12.0	12.2	-0.24	15.5	15.0	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.86,0.72,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%
GSW 88, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.5%
OKC 97, NOH 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%