inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 88 Excitement6.4 [522] MVPBrandan Wright (GSW): +13.4%
Miami Heat 96 Comeback3.1 [771] LVPKelenna Azubuike (GSW): -20.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandan Wright0.130,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.090.04-0.01767%0.1300.004100%0.03
Ronny Turiaf0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00456%0.051-0.031100%0.01
CJ Watson-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.06-0.040.061556%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Randolph-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00950%0.013-0.082100%0.01
DeMarcus Nelson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00543%-0.042-0.034100%0.02
Andris Biedrins-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00833%-0.061-0.0320%-0.04
Anthony Morrow-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.021133%-0.052-0.072100%0.02
Marco Belinelli-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001132%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Kelenna Azubuike-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.070.021940%-0.094-0.112100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.13-0.010.011183%0.182-0.06250%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.090.090.030.03-0.031167%0.153-0.0720%-0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.00464%0.0800.00333%-0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.050.010.072553%0.042-0.051060%-0.09
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00750%0.023-0.08475%-0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00731%-0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.00650%0.025-0.142100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.428.216.526.02.034.2133.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +72.1%
GSW -18.4%
MIA +9.0%
GSW -9.5%
GSW -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game14.714.915.591.798.0106.4
season13.816.0107.3105.9
opponent15.715.0105.7111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.117.812.714.814.7
MIA15.214.315.614.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronny Turiaf33330.04-0.540.58-0.115-131816.413.92.4716.314.22.09
Anthony Randolph4041-0.11-0.390.27-0.06-2-6414.215.1-0.9715.614.51.14
CJ Watson7879-0.19-0.310.12-0.345-131815.013.41.5915.114.40.65
DeMarcus Nelson3334-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-3-214.315.0-0.6714.015.4-1.41
Kelenna Azubuike8082-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.290-8814.914.10.7414.616.7-2.08
Brandan Wright3536-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-102-1215.614.21.4015.014.90.08
Anthony Morrow5556-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-3-215.014.40.5714.515.5-0.96
Marco Belinelli6365-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-157-2214.116.0-1.8715.414.11.29
Andris Biedrins6364-0.530.03-0.56-0.15-135-1813.916.4-2.4714.515.9-1.38

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade79770.80-0.301.090.1522-143614.516.6-2.0914.117.2-3.08
Udonis Haslem78750.74-0.240.970.0922-143614.716.1-1.4514.216.8-2.59
Shawn Marion81790.62-0.120.740.1516-82414.517.1-2.6214.515.6-1.10
Daequan Cook57560.440.060.390.1211-31413.816.5-2.6514.814.60.15
Mario Chalmers79770.440.060.380.189-11015.214.11.0514.615.1-0.46
Chris Quinn21200.110.39-0.280.1108-816.214.61.6413.815.0-1.19
Joel Anthony36370.010.49-0.470.16-513-1816.414.12.3615.014.60.47
Marcus Banks66-0.130.63-0.760.05-614-2013.315.1-1.7222.514.28.28
Yakhouba Diawara1616-0.130.63-0.770.13-917-2617.114.52.5317.814.13.69
Michael Beasley2625-0.180.68-0.850.15-1119-3016.314.51.8514.514.8-0.30
Jamaal Magloire1112-0.220.72-0.940.05-917-2614.815.0-0.1516.914.42.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 97, NOH 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.8%
LAC 120, GSW 1270.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.86,0.72,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.96,1,1,193.5%
MIN 95, CHA 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,193.3%