NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	5.0 [798]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +13.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	108		Comeback	2.5 [577]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -14.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	16	55%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	8	53%	0.00	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	10	40%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	10	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	24	71%	0.28	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	16	59%	0.12	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.03
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	27.1	15.7	26.1	2.7	29.3	129.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +53.6%

MIN -9.9%

CHA +1.9%

CHA +2.5%

CHA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.3	99.0	111.3	106.0
season	14.7	16.2		100.1	103.0
opponent	15.4	14.8		101.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	17.0	14.1	13.9	15.2
CHA	12.9	12.5	15.9	17.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	31	34	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-19	25	16.0	14.8	1.15	14.6	14.6	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	10.2	15.6	-5.39	14.1	14.7	-0.52
Jonny Flynn	46	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-8	3	14.8	15.6	-0.80	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Kevin Love	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-12	11	13.8	16.5	-2.72	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Ryan Hollins	16	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-12	11	11.7	15.9	-4.24	16.0	14.4	1.64
Damien Wilkins	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-7	1	15.2	15.2	0.04	14.9	14.5	0.38
Al Jefferson	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-3	-7	16.6	12.5	4.13	15.0	13.7	1.30
Ryan Gomes	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	15.3	15.0	0.33	14.9	14.1	0.83
Ramon Sessions	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	15.6	14.8	0.80	15.1	14.1	1.05
Darko Milicic	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.05	-14	1	-15	15.7	14.1	1.63	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Corey Brewer	55	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	6	-25	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.2	15.2	-1.01

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-4	21	13.9	17.8	-3.87	15.5	13.9	1.55
Raymond Felton	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.11	21	-8	29	14.0	16.0	-2.05	15.2	15.2	0.09
Tyrus Thomas	41	40	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.12	21	-8	29	13.7	15.3	-1.64	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Theo Ratliff	63	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-3	19	13.9	16.0	-2.07	15.9	14.0	1.95
Gerald Wallace	74	75	0.35	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	5	3	14.6	14.9	-0.32	15.6	14.0	1.56
Tyson Chandler	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	12	-11	15.4	14.0	1.41	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Larry Hughes	29	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	11	-9	15.3	14.3	0.97	14.8	15.4	-0.61
D.J. Augustin	38	37	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.25	-8	21	-29	17.1	13.1	4.03	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Gerald Henderson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	13.5	14.7	-1.20	9.2	15.5	-6.35
Derrick Brown	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	13.2	14.7	-1.44	9.2	15.5	-6.23
Boris Diaw	44	46	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	22	-31	15.9	13.6	2.34	15.1	15.3	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NOP 89, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%