NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	4.5 [875]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +12.1%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	1.7 [1149]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -15.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	79%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Popeye Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	12	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	8	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	19	44%	-0.03	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	17	69%	0.18	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	12	69%	0.14	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	10	71%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	13	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	22.6	15.7	26.0	1.6	27.4	116.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +54.6%

TOR -9.4%

HOU +6.9%

TOR -1.7%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.6	100.0	108.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		102.2	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	20.7	15.0	13.9	15.5
HOU	11.2	15.3	16.9	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	8.5	15.8	-7.28	8.4	14.2	-5.81
Clifford Rozier	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-9	8	17.4	14.5	2.87	12.3	14.6	-2.32
Carlos Rogers	31	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-7	4	15.7	15.4	0.28	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Marcus Camby	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	16.4	14.7	1.68	13.7	14.1	-0.34
Doug Christie	82	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-11	12	14.7	19.9	-5.26	14.0	13.3	0.77
Hubert Davis	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	19.0	14.1	4.87	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Popeye Jones	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	15.0	16.1	-1.09	14.2	13.5	0.74
Oliver Miller	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	15.8	15.2	0.55	14.7	13.1	1.61
Damon Stoudamire	85	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.2	17.8	-2.68	13.8	14.4	-0.54
Walt Williams	72	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.5	18.2	-3.66	14.6	11.9	2.64

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	52	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-4	18	15.9	11.8	4.10	16.4	14.3	2.09
Hakeem Olajuwon	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-5	20	15.3	10.1	5.16	16.4	12.9	3.51
Mario Elie	76	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	2	6	13.6	15.0	-1.41	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Kevin Willis	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	13.1	14.9	-1.78	15.7	15.2	0.58
Randy Livingston	18	18	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	16.3	13.4	2.88	19.1	14.7	4.38
Charles Barkley	64	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	5	0	13.4	14.8	-1.41	14.7	16.8	-2.06
Brent Price	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	2	6	13.0	14.7	-1.72	16.2	14.8	1.42
Matt Maloney	45	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	15.0	13.1	1.90	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Othella Harrington	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	15	-20	10.0	14.2	-4.17	10.0	15.8	-5.85
Matt Bullard	60	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	16	-22	11.9	17.1	-5.21	13.5	18.2	-4.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 82, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIN 95, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%