NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.4 [899]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +18.5%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	2.2 [640]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -14.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martin Muursepp	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.00
Bubba Wells	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.08	7	86%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Riley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	82%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	15	53%	0.04	6	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	9	38%	-0.07	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.01	7	107%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.32	0.01	0.20	15	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	11	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.4	15.5	26.3	2.3	25.6	122.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +45.2%

DAL -11.8%

DAL -4.1%

BOS +21.2%

DAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.6	105.3	114.6	102.5
season	15.8	15.1		98.3	100.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.1	15.9	15.4	14.8	15.3
BOS	14.3	15.4	13.4	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martin Muursepp	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-21	31	12.6	15.9	-3.30	17.4	14.5	2.83
Bubba Wells	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-21	31	12.6	15.9	-3.30	17.4	14.5	2.83
Eric Riley	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-19	27	13.8	15.5	-1.68	18.3	14.5	3.80
Erick Strickland	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-5	-1	15.7	14.9	0.72	15.0	15.0	0.00
Shawn Bradley	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-2	-7	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.5	15.3	-0.72
Chris Anstey	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-10	9	14.9	15.6	-0.61	16.1	14.2	1.95
Khalid Reeves	50	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	14.9	15.7	-0.85	16.4	13.3	3.15
Dennis Scott	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	15.5	15.1	0.46	13.9	16.3	-2.42
A.C. Green	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	15.5	14.9	0.63	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Michael Finley	84	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	15.0	18.2	-3.25	14.6	18.8	-4.22
Hubert Davis	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	6	-23	16.3	11.2	5.12	14.2	18.5	-4.37

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-9	29	14.9	15.3	-0.45	15.7	14.3	1.41
Ron Mercer	58	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-2	15	14.2	16.3	-2.06	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Dana Barros	30	29	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	13.5	15.7	-2.26	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Dee Brown	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	2	7	15.3	14.5	0.83	16.0	14.1	1.94
Andrew DeClercq	50	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	9	-7	15.3	14.7	0.58	14.9	15.8	-0.91
John Thomas	23	22	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	2	7	14.7	15.1	-0.37	17.2	14.7	2.52
Bruce Bowen	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	7	-3	14.5	15.3	-0.84	16.4	14.7	1.70
Travis Knight	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	4	3	13.9	15.6	-1.74	15.8	15.0	0.78
Greg Minor	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	11	-11	16.0	14.7	1.34	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Chauncey Billups	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	15.5	14.4	1.10	15.6	14.8	0.78
Tyus Edney	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	13	-15	16.7	14.8	1.98	16.5	15.1	1.31
Walter McCarty	36	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.41	-20	31	-51	16.8	14.0	2.81	13.1	16.6	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%