NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	91		Excitement	3.9 [1005]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +15.2%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	2.2 [738]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -8.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	22	55%	0.09	7	-0.12	11	82%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	15	50%	0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.01	12	78%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	11	87%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	61%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	11	48%	0.06	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.8	27.2	16.3	22.5	2.3	27.4	126.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +27.1%

DEN -4.7%

SAS +17.6%

SAS +9.6%

SAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAS	NBA	DEN	SAS	NBA
this game	12.6	17.8	15.4	95.8	107.4	105.7
season	13.3	16.5		108.2	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.2		100.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.2	12.2	13.4	12.6	12.6
SAS	16.6	18.3	19.4	16.9	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	28	29	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-15	19	11.6	12.9	-1.30	16.9	18.2	-1.29
Marcus Camby	36	36	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-14	17	12.5	12.6	-0.09	17.1	18.2	-1.04
Von Wafer	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	9.2	12.7	-3.45	17.0	17.8	-0.78
Yakhouba Diawara	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	11.7	12.7	-0.99	16.2	18.0	-1.81
Linas Kleiza	63	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-16	21	13.0	11.8	1.17	18.1	17.2	0.86
Jelani McCoy	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-7	3	10.2	12.7	-2.41	21.7	17.6	4.17
Bobby Jones	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-13	15	12.1	12.8	-0.73	16.1	18.6	-2.46
Anthony Carter	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	1	-13	12.5	12.7	-0.16	18.2	16.9	1.36
Allen Iverson	87	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	2	-15	12.9	9.4	3.48	17.7	17.9	-0.13
Eduardo Najera	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	9	-29	12.3	12.9	-0.58	17.4	18.3	-0.85
Carmelo Anthony	67	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	0	-11	13.0	11.6	1.35	18.4	15.9	2.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	48	48	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.23	27	-16	43	18.5	17.0	1.58	13.1	12.0	1.06
Bruce Bowen	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	18.3	16.6	1.64	12.9	11.9	0.96
Jacque Vaughn	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	1	9	18.2	16.8	1.39	12.8	12.1	0.72
Fabricio Oberto	56	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-6	23	18.1	17.3	0.85	12.7	12.4	0.25
Manu Ginobili	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	1	9	17.3	18.4	-1.11	12.6	12.6	0.01
Tim Duncan	41	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	3	5	18.4	17.2	1.20	12.8	12.3	0.50
Brent Barry	58	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	13	-15	16.6	19.6	-3.01	11.9	13.6	-1.74
Darius Washington	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	7	-3	17.0	18.1	-1.08	12.2	12.8	-0.61
Ime Udoka	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	23	-35	17.7	17.8	-0.06	12.0	12.7	-0.68
Robert Horry	15	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	16.2	18.0	-1.85	10.8	12.8	-2.07
Francisco Elson	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.36	-16	27	-43	17.5	17.8	-0.37	12.9	12.5	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
HOU 83, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 88, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%