inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 88 Excitement4.0 [981] MVPCuttino Mobley (HOU): +18.5%
Houston Rockets 101 Comeback2.1 [277] LVPJamal Mashburn (MIA): -7.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.010.051759%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.001757%0.061-0.03683%0.01
Mark Strickland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03450%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Rex Walters0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03933%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03933%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03928%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dan Majerle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.030.041845%-0.0800.0020%-0.04

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.04-0.041175%0.211-0.032100%0.00
Matt Bullard0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.190.020.051675%0.1600.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.01881%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.03-0.03950%0.0800.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00550%0.0000.002100%0.00
Devin Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.04-0.02950%0.054-0.072100%0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05660%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Anthony Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bill Curley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01343%-0.031-0.031100%0.01
Shandon Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.021132%-0.052-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.526.315.825.01.627.4121.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +57.6%
HOU +10.0%
MIA -6.6%
MIA -11.6%
HOU +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAHOUNBAMIAHOUNBA
this game16.215.815.298.9111.0101.7
season15.715.4101.2102.4
opponent14.615.9103.598.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.317.119.014.516.2
HOU17.015.612.618.315.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rex Walters890.00-0.500.50-0.186-19258.916.9-8.0416.915.71.19
Duane Causwell880.00-0.500.50-0.155-18238.916.9-8.0413.716.0-2.26
Mark Strickland1515-0.01-0.490.48-0.217-202712.317.0-4.6416.215.70.46
Clar. Weatherspoon4446-0.14-0.360.210.12-9-4-517.015.41.6417.014.62.36
Otis Thorpe2324-0.14-0.360.210.12-9-4-517.415.81.6218.215.03.20
Anthony Carter5254-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-121116.116.3-0.1817.114.03.10
Voshon Lenard5053-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-9516.815.51.3017.014.22.84
Alonzo Mourning5859-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.09-9-4-516.715.21.5315.117.1-1.93
P.J. Brown3434-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-2-916.615.90.7413.817.0-3.22
Tim Hardaway4443-0.36-0.14-0.210.11-163-1916.715.71.0614.716.8-2.03
Dan Majerle4847-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-130-1316.216.10.0814.617.1-2.43
Jamal Mashburn6163-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-11-2-916.415.70.7515.316.9-1.56

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Francis69680.500.000.49-0.0318-52315.716.3-0.6116.415.41.06
Cuttino Mobley45440.480.020.46-0.0518-52316.814.91.9117.115.31.87
Walt Williams53530.340.160.170.04103715.216.7-1.5916.116.3-0.19
Matt Bullard45460.320.180.14-0.01112913.817.8-4.0317.215.21.99
Kelvin Cato12120.260.240.03-0.06112914.716.0-1.2216.516.10.36
Kenny Thomas46440.240.26-0.030.1249-517.813.84.0314.817.5-2.67
Anthony Miller21220.190.31-0.120.0458-312.716.8-4.0917.215.91.38
Shandon Anderson79760.180.32-0.140.18013-1316.014.71.2216.315.31.03
Bryce Drew22210.000.50-0.490.15-518-2316.315.70.6115.416.4-1.06
Hakeem Olajuwon43400.000.50-0.500.06-215-1717.913.94.0116.316.10.29
Devin Gray550.000.50-0.500.06-215-1711.616.1-4.466.416.8-10.37
Bill Curley1514-0.010.51-0.510.08-316-1915.016.0-0.9714.916.4-1.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 93, CLE 1150.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
NJN 72, MIA 950.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
DAL 99, BOS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%