inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 72 Excitement4.1 [615] MVPRex Walters (MIA): +7.3%
Miami Heat 95 Comeback2.1 [438] LVPKendall Gill (NJN): -15.3%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jim McIlvaine0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.022100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jayson Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.02956%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Rony Seikaly0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.00-0.00-0.01558%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Earl Boykins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.021653%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Damon Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Murdock-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.01-0.04828%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Scott Burrell-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.02833%-0.073-0.0320%-0.03
Kerry Kittles-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.02-0.031318%-0.1200.002100%0.01
Kendall Gill-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.04-0.011227%-0.111-0.04250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rex Walters0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.02764%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.02664%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Jamie Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Blue Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marty Conlon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.041100%0.001-0.024100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.031863%0.043-0.071856%-0.09
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.03555%-0.003-0.041090%0.03
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.04936%-0.062-0.00475%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.01-0.001048%-0.003-0.07540%-0.03
Dan Majerle0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0258%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.433.517.428.91.825.5133.0
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.9%
MIA +8.1%
MIA +5.0%
NJN -3.8%
NJN -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game16.715.915.881.8106.799.6
season15.016.696.5101.3
opponent16.715.696.8100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN14.519.217.016.516.7
MIA14.316.915.017.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins770.00-0.510.510.15-5-181313.417.0-3.5217.615.71.84
Brian Evans770.00-0.510.510.15-5-181313.417.0-3.5217.615.71.84
Jim McIlvaine87-0.02-0.490.470.10-4-191514.016.9-2.9416.015.90.13
Eric Murdock5050-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-242515.518.2-2.7616.015.70.33
Chris Gatling2628-0.16-0.350.180.16-11-12114.817.5-2.7016.015.80.23
Rony Seikaly3939-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-9-516.017.2-1.1616.815.11.68
Jayson Williams5756-0.26-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-16917.614.92.6815.816.0-0.15
Damon Jones2828-0.29-0.22-0.070.24-18-5-1318.016.02.0017.015.41.64
Keith Van Horn5757-0.35-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-13317.914.53.3815.915.80.05
Kerry Kittles6566-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.06-10-13316.915.91.0315.317.4-2.10
Kendall Gill7678-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.03-16-7-916.716.40.2915.717.2-1.49
Scott Burrell3639-0.570.07-0.640.22-274-3118.415.52.9115.016.6-1.61

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Porter52510.460.040.42-0.2424-12516.714.71.9617.016.20.83
Alonzo Mourning79780.440.070.370.03149515.816.6-0.8217.014.22.79
Clar. Weatherspoon46470.380.130.25-0.242121917.214.42.7816.816.50.25
Rex Walters55540.310.200.11-0.011112-115.216.9-1.7217.116.01.14
P.J. Brown48490.310.200.11-0.051211114.617.4-2.8118.314.63.78
Tim Hardaway61600.260.240.02-0.061112-115.217.3-2.1117.115.81.25
Jamie Watson26250.230.28-0.05-0.131211118.514.83.7114.617.5-2.89
Dan Majerle48460.100.40-0.300.13-124-2515.616.2-0.5915.717.7-2.04
Mark Strickland22200.040.47-0.43-0.17716-915.815.9-0.1414.417.3-2.87
Blue Edwards450.000.51-0.51-0.06221-1914.515.9-1.4413.016.9-3.89
Marty Conlon450.000.51-0.51-0.06221-1914.515.9-1.4413.016.9-3.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 88, HOU 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
NJN 70, SAS 810.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
GSW 108, MEM 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,195.2%