NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	70		Excitement	4.3 [926]		MVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): +9.3%
San Antonio Spurs	81		Comeback	2.0 [1030]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -22.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.03	10	73%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	18	49%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	12	36%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	50%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.03	0.02	17	34%	-0.10	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	-0.01	-0.03	21	57%	0.11	2	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	61%	0.04	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	31.2	15.6	28.2	2.5	32.6	138.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +9.0%

SAS +10.1%

SAS +22.0%

SAS +4.9%

SAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.4	79.5	92.0	105.7
season	15.4	16.5		101.8	104.7
opponent	15.3	15.5		100.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.2	16.5	16.0	15.1	15.9
SAS	18.1	17.0	16.7	15.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	15	14	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-14	17	18.7	15.4	3.38	18.0	16.6	1.43
Maurice Ager	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	10.0	16.0	-6.00	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Sean Williams	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	10.0	16.0	-6.00	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Stromile Swift	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-7	3	20.2	14.8	5.39	13.4	17.8	-4.39
Trenton Hassell	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-5	-1	17.4	15.2	2.21	14.8	17.8	-2.99
Nenad Krstic	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	15.3	16.7	-1.36	18.2	15.1	3.09
Josh Boone	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-7	3	15.2	17.2	-2.00	17.0	16.5	0.48
Marcus Williams	50	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-7	3	16.2	15.6	0.62	16.9	16.6	0.25
Vince Carter	79	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.1	14.7	1.41	16.8	16.5	0.39
Richard Jefferson	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.13	-12	1	-13	15.3	19.1	-3.78	17.0	15.6	1.44
Devin Harris	68	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	3	-17	15.0	19.0	-3.97	16.9	16.3	0.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	32	33	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-5	21	15.7	17.4	-1.64	17.0	15.3	1.76
Tim Duncan	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	17.2	15.8	1.46	16.0	15.8	0.13
Manu Ginobili	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	1	9	15.9	19.0	-3.18	16.0	15.7	0.38
Tony Parker	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-4	19	16.9	16.6	0.31	16.5	15.3	1.15
Jacque Vaughn	26	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	2	7	17.5	16.5	1.05	13.1	17.1	-4.05
Ime Udoka	55	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	5	1	17.1	16.3	0.84	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Bruce Bowen	52	51	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	10	-9	17.4	15.9	1.44	15.7	16.2	-0.54
Kurt Thomas	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	7	-3	16.5	17.0	-0.56	16.1	15.8	0.35
Fabricio Oberto	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	13	-15	16.9	16.7	0.16	16.5	15.6	0.95
Matt Bonner	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	15.5	16.8	-1.33	10.0	16.0	-6.00
Damon Stoudamire	30	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	22	-33	16.5	16.9	-0.45	15.9	15.9	-0.05
Robert Horry	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	18.7	16.7	2.01	15.7	16.0	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 72, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIN 93, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 105, WAS 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%