NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	4.7 [893]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +20.7%
Washington Wizards	116		Comeback	3.2 [706]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -17.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	10	79%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	9	68%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	12	48%	0.05	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	22	57%	0.07	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	8	18%	-0.09	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.04	-0.04	26	60%	0.26	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.02	16	59%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.04	18	75%	0.16	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
James Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	30.1	16.4	26.6	2.3	30.1	134.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +48.2%

LAC -8.0%

LAC -15.5%

WAS +25.4%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.4	15.4	100.0	111.5	104.5
season	15.7	14.8		103.3	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.7	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	15.8	14.0	12.3	14.1
WAS	12.1	13.0	13.1	15.4	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	40	37	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.33	16	-27	43	12.3	15.3	-3.02	15.6	12.2	3.39
James Singleton	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	11.6	14.3	-2.67	14.5	13.4	1.13
Paul Davis	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	11.6	14.3	-2.67	14.5	13.4	1.13
Yaroslav Korolev	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	11.6	14.3	-2.67	14.5	13.4	1.13
Corey Maggette	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	13.4	15.1	-1.71	13.7	13.0	0.70
Quinton Ross	58	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	14.3	13.9	0.45	12.9	14.1	-1.27
Cuttino Mobley	42	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	4	-19	16.1	12.8	3.25	13.0	13.7	-0.72
Chris Kaman	85	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.6	12.2	2.34	13.5	13.0	0.51
Elton Brand	87	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	2	-15	14.1	14.4	-0.30	12.8	16.5	-3.72
Tim Thomas	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.00	-14	3	-17	13.8	14.6	-0.75	14.4	12.0	2.37
Shaun Livingston	78	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.15	-29	18	-47	14.8	12.3	2.44	12.4	16.3	-3.91

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	93	93	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	-5	21	13.1	15.7	-2.59	14.4	12.2	2.14
Brendan Haywood	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	2	7	13.5	13.3	0.19	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Antonio Daniels	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-2	15	14.7	12.4	2.22	14.0	14.3	-0.25
DeShawn Stevenson	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	12.0	14.8	-2.81	14.7	13.5	1.20
Antawn Jamison	92	91	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	13.6	12.0	1.60	13.6	17.4	-3.79
Caron Butler	85	85	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	13.1	14.6	-1.49	13.5	16.8	-3.28
Andray Blatche	12	14	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	12.0	13.6	-1.60	17.4	13.6	3.79
Jarvis Hayes	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	4	3	15.2	12.8	2.39	15.2	13.8	1.45
Calvin Booth	28	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	13.4	13.4	-0.08	14.7	13.9	0.85
James Lang	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	14.0	13.4	0.59	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Donell Taylor	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	15.8	13.3	2.51	11.5	14.3	-2.80
Roger Mason Jr.	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	15	-19	13.8	13.4	0.41	9.8	14.4	-4.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 70, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 109, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 79, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%