NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	79		Excitement	4.0 [994]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +6.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	2.0 [317]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -15.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.02	29	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mengke Bateer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	16	35%	-0.06	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	8	84%	0.10	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	-0.01	-0.05	12	65%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	7	43%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	44%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	63%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	28.6	15.7	24.3	2.7	27.8	124.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.4%

LAC +4.1%

SAS -0.7%

SAS -5.2%

SAS -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.5	85.9	101.1	101.6
season	15.7	15.4		102.5	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.3	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	17.9	14.6	13.5	15.6
LAC	14.1	15.7	16.7	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mengke Bateer	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	9.5	15.7	-6.19	21.0	16.0	5.01
Anthony Goldwire	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	9.5	15.7	-6.19	21.0	16.0	5.01
Stephen Jackson	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-14	16	14.9	16.0	-1.12	17.4	15.2	2.20
Kevin Willis	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-12	12	14.9	15.8	-0.99	17.2	15.6	1.67
Danny Ferry	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-11	10	13.6	16.5	-2.87	18.5	15.0	3.43
Malik Rose	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-5	-2	16.5	15.4	1.17	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Steve Kerr	39	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-6	0	14.9	16.0	-1.05	16.9	15.5	1.33
Bruce Bowen	47	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	16.2	14.9	1.30	14.7	17.7	-2.98
Steven Smith	44	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-1	-10	17.3	13.9	3.38	15.3	16.8	-1.53
David Robinson	60	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	16.0	14.8	1.19	15.7	16.7	-0.93
Tim Duncan	80	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	15.4	16.2	-0.80	15.9	17.4	-1.44
Tony Parker	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	2	-16	15.7	14.9	0.82	15.4	19.6	-4.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	79	83	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	15.8	18.5	-2.68	15.7	14.2	1.48
Michael Olowokandi	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	1	10	16.3	15.2	1.11	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Andre Miller	76	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-2	16	16.2	15.7	0.46	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Keyon Dooling	44	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	0	12	16.8	15.4	1.41	15.4	15.7	-0.26
Quentin Richardson	49	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	17.1	14.9	2.29	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Marko Jaric	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	14	-16	15.5	17.3	-1.85	15.9	15.0	0.88
Melvin Ely	19	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	12	-12	15.5	16.3	-0.73	15.5	15.6	-0.04
Tremaine Fowlkes	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	14.9	17.1	-2.29	16.0	15.2	0.78
Wang Zhi-zhi	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	12	-12	18.9	15.8	3.05	14.6	15.6	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 69, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 94, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
HOU 109, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%