NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	4.4 [936]		MVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (DAL): +9.6%
Dallas Mavericks	121		Comeback	3.1 [256]		LVP	Pablo Prigioni (HOU): -4.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.04
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.07	15	65%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.13	-0.01	0.14	10	88%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.01	7	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	13	23%	-0.14
Terrence Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	70%	0.11	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	21	66%	0.13	5	-0.10	5	60%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.05	14	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.3	36.5	17.3	34.9	3.0	34.0	158.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.2%

HOU -14.3%

DAL +22.0%

HOU -3.5%

HOU -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.7	15.1	104.8	118.6	104.2
season	14.3	14.6		105.6	107.6
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.0	14.2	13.8	11.9	13.3
DAL	13.7	12.9	14.5	18.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	11	11	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.09	8	-20	28	8.5	13.8	-5.27	12.8	14.9	-2.13
Pablo Prigioni	43	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-15	18	11.3	14.6	-3.34	14.8	14.7	0.13
Josh Smith	60	60	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-25	38	12.0	15.0	-3.06	15.7	13.4	2.31
Kostas Papanikolaou	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	7.2	13.5	-6.25	14.7	14.7	0.04
Joey Dorsey	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	7.2	13.5	-6.25	14.7	14.7	0.04
Nick Johnson	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-15	18	9.4	14.0	-4.67	18.2	14.0	4.22
Trevor Ariza	71	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	14.5	10.7	3.80	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Corey Brewer	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	12.4	15.0	-2.59	15.1	13.9	1.18
Terrence Jones	40	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	2	-16	14.7	12.3	2.38	13.2	15.6	-2.40
James Harden	79	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	1	-14	13.4	12.7	0.71	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Jason Terry	47	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	7	-26	15.4	11.5	3.91	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Dwight Howard	74	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.14	-23	11	-34	15.0	9.0	6.03	14.9	14.3	0.64

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	58	62	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.06	26	-14	40	13.9	15.8	-1.90	14.8	11.0	3.71
Al-Farouq Aminu	79	81	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.01	22	-10	32	14.6	15.0	-0.42	13.9	11.2	2.68
Monta Ellis	83	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.11	26	-14	40	13.9	18.3	-4.36	13.9	10.4	3.47
Jose Juan Barea	72	75	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.00	22	-10	32	14.8	14.4	0.40	14.3	10.7	3.61
Dirk Nowitzki	70	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-8	28	14.4	15.5	-1.14	13.7	12.0	1.75
Charlie Villanueva	29	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	14	-16	14.8	14.7	0.11	13.0	13.3	-0.34
Devin Harris	36	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	25	-38	15.0	14.5	0.48	11.2	14.4	-3.20
Raymond Felton	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	22	-32	18.4	14.2	4.20	8.4	14.0	-5.57
Richard Jefferson	28	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.32	-17	29	-46	15.7	14.3	1.38	10.6	14.2	-3.60
Amar'e Stoudemire	42	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.21	-14	26	-40	15.9	13.9	2.02	11.1	14.7	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 94, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 79, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%