NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	3.9 [1065]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +16.8%
San Antonio Spurs	115		Comeback	2.4 [789]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (PHX): -11.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.01	0.08	19	71%	0.08	4	-0.06	14	93%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	3	0%	-0.02	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	11	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	14	39%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	7	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	20	72%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	4	37%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.04	0.02	10	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.5	27.3	16.5	29.3	2.4	27.2	133.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +51.2%

PHX -16.0%

SAS +6.9%

SAS +7.9%

PHX -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.3	17.4	15.5	100.0	122.3	104.0
season	13.5	16.3		112.9	105.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		98.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.8	15.5	13.1	13.0	13.3
SAS	15.9	18.0	15.7	20.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	11	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-25	29	16.2	12.9	3.29	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Leandro Barbosa	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-26	31	12.7	13.6	-0.90	16.5	17.9	-1.44
Zarko Cabarkapa	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-29	37	8.6	13.8	-5.23	20.5	17.0	3.50
Jackson Vroman	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	10.2	13.7	-3.50	20.5	17.0	3.50
Maciej Lampe	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-24	27	13.0	13.4	-0.42	20.4	16.4	3.92
Steven Hunter	17	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-13	5	12.9	13.4	-0.41	15.5	17.8	-2.30
Casey Jacobsen	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-9	-3	13.7	12.8	0.94	17.6	17.1	0.43
Joe Johnson	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-5	-11	13.4	12.9	0.50	17.7	16.7	0.97
Quentin Richardson	68	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	0	-21	13.5	12.6	0.91	16.5	19.4	-2.87
Shawn Marion	53	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	4	-29	12.6	14.1	-1.46	16.0	19.3	-3.24
Steve Nash	57	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.26	-26	5	-31	13.6	12.7	0.90	17.9	16.5	1.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	2	-25	13.9	11.2	2.73	17.6	16.8	0.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	58	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-2	25	17.5	17.1	0.36	13.4	13.1	0.21
Tony Parker	59	60	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-3	27	16.9	18.2	-1.29	13.7	12.5	1.17
Bruce Bowen	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	1	19	17.6	17.0	0.59	12.7	13.9	-1.23
Robert Horry	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	15	-9	18.7	16.9	1.79	12.2	13.7	-1.55
Manu Ginobili	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.33	21	0	21	16.2	19.3	-3.07	14.4	11.4	3.01
Rasho Nesterovic	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	7	7	15.5	19.2	-3.73	14.0	12.6	1.36
Devin Brown	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.34	18	3	15	17.2	17.5	-0.34	13.8	12.9	0.95
Tony Massenburg	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	24	-27	19.5	16.7	2.80	12.5	13.5	-0.95
Mike Wilks	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	20.7	16.9	3.79	10.2	13.7	-3.50
Brent Barry	27	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	30	-39	18.4	17.0	1.42	12.9	13.5	-0.60
Beno Udrih	34	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	26	-31	18.0	17.0	1.05	12.1	13.9	-1.78
Malik Rose	35	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.21	2	19	-17	17.3	17.4	-0.12	13.5	13.1	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
HOU 109, DAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 94, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%