NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	83		Excitement	4.3 [757]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +22.5%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	2.1 [548]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -16.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	10	64%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	18	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chandler Parsons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	9	59%	0.01	8	-0.18	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.03	-0.01	16	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	16	44%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.07	5	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	30.5	15.7	25.0	1.6	25.3	122.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.0%

UTA +6.8%

UTA +9.3%

UTA +0.7%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.6	87.4	104.0	102.8
season	15.4	15.8		103.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.2	14.2	17.3	14.9	14.8
UTA	12.6	13.5	16.2	17.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	34	35	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.17	-4	-17	13	15.1	14.6	0.44	17.0	13.6	3.40
Marcus Morris	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	14.3	14.8	-0.46	12.7	14.8	-2.09
Greg Smith	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	16.9	14.6	2.29	16.7	14.6	2.16
Terrence Williams	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-17	13	16.3	14.6	1.69	18.3	14.3	4.06
Goran Dragic	48	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-14	7	14.8	14.7	0.07	17.1	12.2	4.89
Patrick Patterson	37	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-16	11	14.2	15.2	-1.01	16.9	13.3	3.57
Courtney Lee	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-11	1	15.3	14.3	0.94	17.5	12.2	5.31
Kevin Martin	45	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-10	-1	14.3	15.2	-0.89	12.1	17.1	-5.01
Samuel Dalembert	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-7	-7	14.9	14.6	0.26	12.8	16.9	-4.07
Luis Scola	64	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-10	-1	14.3	15.7	-1.33	13.6	17.3	-3.62
Chandler Parsons	55	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	-7	-7	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.2	16.8	-3.52
Kyle Lowry	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.13	-23	2	-25	14.8	14.5	0.30	13.7	17.8	-4.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	73	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.25	30	-9	39	13.4	18.5	-5.10	15.3	13.2	2.05
Derrick Favors	63	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	6	9	13.2	17.4	-4.16	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Josh Howard	58	56	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	4	13	13.5	16.5	-2.96	15.1	14.4	0.71
Devin Harris	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	9	3	12.6	16.9	-4.33	14.5	15.0	-0.52
CJ Miles	55	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	10	1	15.9	13.4	2.43	14.2	15.4	-1.22
Gordon Hayward	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	11	-1	13.4	15.9	-2.43	15.4	14.2	1.22
Earl Watson	51	47	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	12	-3	16.9	12.6	4.33	15.0	14.5	0.52
Alec Burks	36	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	17	-13	16.5	13.8	2.72	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Jeremy Evans	43	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	15	-9	17.2	12.9	4.34	15.2	14.5	0.73
DeMarre Carroll	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	16.3	14.7	1.67	16.6	14.7	1.92
Enes Kanter	21	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	30	-39	19.1	13.6	5.49	12.4	15.4	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 89, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
POR 93, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1	95.2%