NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	4.9 [818]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +11.3%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.8 [926]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -21.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerard King	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	15	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	23	46%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Jahidi White	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	9	20%	-0.12	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.04	0.01	14	44%	-0.08	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	-0.07	20	60%	0.19	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	77%	0.09	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	20	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	35.0	15.4	24.6	2.4	27.6	129.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.9%

WAS -1.5%

WAS -10.7%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	14.4	15.5	89.9	99.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.3		98.6	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	15.1	15.5	14.2	14.6
HOU	14.2	12.6	14.5	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	42	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-19	28	13.0	15.8	-2.78	15.4	13.6	1.86
Michael Smith	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-9	8	14.6	14.6	0.06	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Gerard King	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-6	2	14.9	14.5	0.38	15.1	14.2	0.98
Tyrone Nesby	49	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	14.1	15.1	-0.98	14.7	14.0	0.73
Mitch Richmond	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	14.6	14.6	0.01	14.4	14.4	0.01
Juwan Howard	76	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.38	14.2	15.1	-0.98
Chris Whitney	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	14.2	15.3	-1.05	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Richard Hamilton	83	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	3	-16	15.1	11.7	3.45	14.2	15.6	-1.45
Jahidi White	57	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	9	-28	15.8	13.0	2.78	13.8	15.1	-1.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	92	90	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.14	15	-5	20	14.1	17.1	-2.99	14.8	12.2	2.59
Hakeem Olajuwon	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-4	18	14.3	14.6	-0.28	15.2	13.1	2.13
Maurice Taylor	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-5	20	14.2	14.7	-0.53	14.6	14.5	0.07
Steve Francis	96	96	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	2	6	14.1	21.0	-6.91	14.7	9.7	5.06
Shandon Anderson	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	3	4	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Matt Bullard	22	22	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	7	-4	14.7	14.3	0.40	15.3	14.4	0.95
Moochie Norris	5	3	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	8	-6	16.8	14.2	2.56	9.7	14.7	-5.06
Walt Williams	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	13	-16	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.7	14.2	1.55
Kenny Thomas	45	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	15	-20	15.1	13.8	1.27	13.7	15.2	-1.47
Jason Collier	12	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	16	-22	14.1	14.4	-0.33	10.7	15.1	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.4%
MEM 91, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
HOU 83, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%