NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	4.6 [907]		MVP	Antoine Walker (MIA): +25.1%
Miami Heat	106		Comeback	1.9 [849]		LVP	Gary Payton (MIA): -19.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.01	21	59%	0.16	2	-0.03	14	71%	-0.02
John Salmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	12	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	51%	0.01	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.03	-0.00	13	93%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.02	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.04	-0.06	27	51%	0.15	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.20	-0.02	-0.02	10	37%	-0.06	8	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	31.3	16.3	30.1	3.3	37.4	144.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +43.4%

MIA +0.3%

MIA +12.7%

PHI -3.0%

PHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.6	103.2	116.5	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		104.1	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	16.5	15.4	13.1	14.8
MIA	16.1	15.5	18.2	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	20	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-9	8	13.8	15.1	-1.27	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Lee Nailon	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-10	10	14.9	14.8	0.04	18.9	15.9	3.04
Andre Iguodala	68	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-13	16	14.4	16.0	-1.57	16.8	15.8	0.98
Michael Bradley	10	8	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-2	-6	15.4	14.8	0.62	16.2	16.5	-0.24
John Salmons	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-8	6	14.4	15.5	-1.14	16.4	16.6	-0.14
Steven Hunter	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	3	-16	16.2	13.9	2.26	15.2	17.4	-2.21
Kyle Korver	81	79	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	1	-12	14.8	15.2	-0.46	16.1	18.7	-2.62
Allen Iverson	93	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.8	0.0	14.85	16.5	0.0	16.47
Chris Webber	83	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	15.1	12.6	2.52	17.0	12.3	4.69

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	82	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-3	16	16.0	20.4	-4.41	15.0	13.5	1.48
Dwyane Wade	80	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-2	14	16.4	17.2	-0.81	14.8	15.2	-0.39
James Posey	87	90	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	1	8	16.4	19.0	-2.64	15.0	11.7	3.29
Alonzo Mourning	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-5	20	15.0	18.8	-3.78	15.8	13.4	2.34
Antoine Walker	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	3	4	17.0	15.6	1.46	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Udonis Haslem	68	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	10	-10	17.4	13.6	3.83	14.4	16.5	-2.10
Jason Kapono	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	16	-22	18.0	15.9	2.11	13.8	15.3	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 90, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	95.3%
DAL 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.87,0.83,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%