NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.2 [781]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +20.1%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	2.4 [755]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -18.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.04	10	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	19	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	18	54%	0.07	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	14	18%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	19	67%	0.29	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	20	59%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	-0.05	14	40%	0.01	6	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	24.7	15.7	22.8	1.8	32.5	121.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +60.2%

ATL +3.6%

MIL -6.5%

MIL -8.3%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.4	15.4	92.8	102.1	104.1
season	14.7	15.1		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	16.4	15.4	14.5	15.4
ATL	13.9	13.6	13.4	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-9	10	14.6	15.9	-1.32	15.3	13.9	1.44
John Henson	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	14.8	15.7	-0.92	14.4	14.4	-0.05
JJ Redick	58	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-16	24	15.0	16.1	-1.06	15.2	13.1	2.14
Mike Dunleavy	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.3	0.30	15.2	13.3	1.89
Marquis Daniels	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.03	13.5	15.1	-1.58
Samuel Dalembert	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	6	-20	16.3	14.9	1.48	12.3	15.8	-3.44
Monta Ellis	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.5	14.9	0.61	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Brandon Jennings	79	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	15.2	16.6	-1.37	14.5	13.9	0.56
Larry Sanders	70	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	5	-18	16.1	13.8	2.26	14.2	14.9	-0.72

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-6	20	14.1	16.7	-2.69	15.9	12.4	3.53
Devin Harris	76	77	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.21	13	-5	18	14.2	15.0	-0.76	16.2	12.7	3.46
Kyle Korver	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-7	22	13.9	15.7	-1.78	15.6	15.1	0.50
Jeff Teague	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-5	18	14.2	16.9	-2.65	15.6	13.5	2.12
Al Horford	85	86	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	14.6	12.9	1.68	15.7	13.6	2.04
Anthony Tolliver	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	13.1	14.5	-1.42	12.3	15.8	-3.43
Dahntay Jones	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	17.8	14.2	3.59	18.6	15.3	3.33
DeShawn Stevenson	12	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	16.7	14.1	2.69	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Ivan Johnson	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	15	-22	14.9	14.2	0.68	13.5	16.0	-2.52
John Jenkins	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	18	-28	15.5	14.0	1.51	12.9	16.5	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.3%
CLE 89, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.9,1,1	95.2%
NYK 101, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%